Week 15 Efficiency Rankings

Hello and welcome to Market Fantasy!

Below are my efficiency rankings. The idea is similar to my consistency rankings in how they are calculated, but looking at a different set of metrics. The consistency rankings are really more of a predictive tool than a rank, in that by showing a players average performance and standard deviation within those performances, we can get an idea of what to expect from a player in a given week. 

The efficiency rankings below are based on two metrics: total number of touches and points per touch. Total number of touches is the number of times a player touches the football, either via reception or carry. Points per touch is the number of fantasy points a player scores each time they touch the ball (YTD fantasy points divided by total touches). 

The idea in calculating where a player ranks is similar to how I get to my consistency ranks. In calculating the consistency ranks, more weight is given to players with higher average scores, since they are high performers, but also lowest standard deviation. A lower standard deviation gives us a smaller range of outcomes when predicting what their score will be. In calculating the below efficiency ranks, the most weight is given to the highest touches, along with the highest points per touch. The idea is to find the players who will touch the ball the most and score the most points each time they do so. A player like Martavis Bryant has a very high points per touch among running backs, but also a smaller workload, so a big game is blown out of proportion some. 

One last note on the ranks: running backs will have a lower points per touch than wide receivers and tight ends due to both the higher number of touches and the nature of their touches. Whereas a receiver might average 15 yards (1.5 points) per reception, a good running back only averages 4.5 (.45 points) yards per carry (and a little more per reception).

RB:

Rank		Player		MF Pts		Touches		Pts/Touch
1		Arian Foster HOU		198.4		237		0.837
2		Marshawn Lynch SEA		212.6		268		0.793
3		Jamaal Charles KC		193.2		204		0.947
4		Eddie Lacy GB		186.8		224		0.834
5		Le'Veon Bell PIT		240.4		313		0.768
6		Matt Forte CHI		207.8		300		0.693
7		Justin Forsett BAL		179.4		229		0.783
8		DeMarco Murray DAL		243.8		373		0.654
9		Lamar Miller MIA		134.9		194		0.695
10		Jeremy Hill CIN		127		176		0.722
11		C.J. Anderson DEN		119.2		141		0.845
12		Alfred Morris WAS		145.5		233		0.624
13		Joique Bell DET		133.2		210		0.634
14		Mark Ingram NO		127.4		206		0.618
15		Isaiah Crowell CLE		103		127		0.811
16		Andre Ellington ARI		131.5		247		0.532
17		Matt Asiata MIN		101.1		150		0.674
18		Darren Sproles PHI		88.8		78		1.138
19		Shane Vereen NE		99.6		129		0.772
20		Giovani Bernard CIN		108.1		170		0.636
21		LeSean McCoy PHI		135.9		282		0.482
22		Tre Mason STL		98		154		0.636
23		Antone Smith ATL		64.6		36		1.794
24		Chris Ivory NYJ		110.7		178		0.622
25		Roy Helu WAS		77		72		1.069
26		Steven Jackson ATL		113.5		193		0.588
27		Benny Cunningham STL		72.6		92		0.789
28		Pierre Thomas NO		66.2		81		0.817
29		Jonathan Stewart CAR		89.1		136		0.655
30		Rashad Jennings NYG		102.8		183		0.562
31		Lorenzo Taliaferro BAL		62.6		76		0.824
32		Fred Jackson BUF		94.3		150		0.629
33		Andre Williams NYG		98.6		172		0.573
34		Frank Gore SF		102.1		202		0.505
35		Ronnie Hillman DEN		75.5		111		0.680
36		Ryan Mathews SD		57.9		83		0.698
37		LeGarrette Blount NE		73.5		115		0.639
38		Terrance West CLE		82.8		157		0.527
39		Trent Richardson IND		83.8		164		0.511
40		Branden Oliver SD		80.7		148		0.545
41		Carlos Hyde SF		56.6		89		0.636
42		Chris Johnson NYJ		80.9		147		0.550
43		Darren McFadden OAK		76		173		0.439
44		Knile Davis KC		75.5		128		0.590
45		Bobby Rainey TB		78.1		127		0.615
46		James Starks GB		51.3		82		0.626
47		Bishop Sankey TEN		70.5		147		0.480
48		Alfred Blue HOU		65.3		145		0.450
49		Ben Tate MIN		66.3		123		0.539

 WR:

Rank		Player		MF Pts		Touches		Pts/Touch
1		Jordy Nelson GB		198.5		78		2.545
2		Jeremy Maclin PHI		170.9		74		2.309
3		T.Y. Hilton IND		171.5		80		2.144
4		Demaryius Thomas DEN		186.6		90		2.073
5		Dez Bryant DAL		163.4		73		2.238
6		Randall Cobb GB		157.6		76		2.074
7		DeAndre Hopkins HOU		143		64		2.234
8		Julio Jones ATL		176.9		94		1.882
9		Antonio Brown PIT		200.8		109		1.842
10		Kelvin Benjamin CAR		136.8		59		2.319
11		Mike Evans TB		153.5		57		2.693
12		Emmanuel Sanders DEN		167.2		94		1.779
13		Alshon Jeffery CHI		146.2		79		1.851
14		Odell Beckham NYG		122.4		64		1.913
15		A.J. Green CIN		125.2		58		2.159
16		Steve Smith BAL		122.9		61		2.015
17		Golden Tate DET		139.1		87		1.599
18		Brandon Marshall CHI		118.1		61		1.936
19		Calvin Johnson DET		124.2		57		2.179
20		DeSean Jackson WAS		124		50		2.480
21		Torrey Smith BAL		108.9		38		2.866
22		Brandon LaFell NE		115.3		57		2.023
23		Mike Wallace MIA		111.6		60		1.860
24		Malcom Floyd SD		104.3		42		2.483
25		Anquan Boldin SF		114.1		73		1.563
26		Sammy Watkins BUF		110.5		59		1.873
27		Jordan Matthews PHI		112.9		56		2.016
28		Martavis Bryant PIT		87.6		22		3.982
29		Allen Hurns JAC		92.6		40		2.315
30		Terrance Williams DAL		84.2		30		2.807
31		Mohamed Sanu CIN		110.5		60		1.842
32		Julian Edelman NE		115.2		94		1.226
33		Roddy White ATL		106.4		59		1.803
34		Vincent Jackson TB		96.1		60		1.602
35		Keenan Allen SD		96.5		74		1.304
36		Kenny Britt STL		73.6		32		2.300
37		Michael Floyd ARI		81.4		36		2.261
38		Percy Harvin NYJ		73		77		0.948
39		Michael Crabtree SF		87.7		61		1.438
40		John Brown ARI		86.3		42		2.055
41		Andre Holmes OAK		78		37		2.108
42		Jarvis Landry MIA		80.9		65		1.245
43		James Jones OAK		80.9		62		1.305
44		Andre Johnson HOU		79.7		69		1.155
45		Eddie Royal SD		91.6		48		1.908
46		Kendall Wright TEN		95.7		54		1.772
47		Marques Colston NO		86.6		46		1.883
48		Kenny Stills NO		89.2		48		1.858
49		Andrew Hawkins CLE		88.4		57		1.551
50		Eric Decker NYJ		86		55		1.564
51		Donte Moncrief IND		62		31		2.000
52		Pierre Garcon WAS		78.2		58		1.348
53		Greg Jennings MIN		83.8		50		1.676
54		Larry Fitzgerald ARI		79.2		50		1.584
55		Doug Baldwin SEA		79.6		53		1.502
56		Robert Woods BUF		74.6		52		1.435
57		Reggie Wayne IND		76.1		55		1.384
58		Rueben Randle NYG		73.8		57		1.295
59		Allen Robinson JAC		66.8		48		1.392
60		Markus Wheaton PIT		67.3		47		1.432

 TE:

Rank		Player		MF Pts		Touches		Pts/Touch
1		Rob Gronkowski NE		159.7		73		2.188
2		Antonio Gates SD		114.8		52		2.208
3		Jimmy Graham NO		121.5		68		1.787
4		Greg Olsen CAR		121		71		1.704
5		Martellus Bennett CHI		118.1		77		1.534
6		Julius Thomas DEN		114.6		40		2.865
7		Delanie Walker TEN		94		48		1.958
8		Coby Fleener IND		101		40		2.525
9		Travis Kelce KC		88.8		51		1.741
10		Dwayne Allen IND		79.9		27		2.959
11		Larry Donnell NYG		82.4		55		1.498
12		Heath Miller PIT		74.4		52		1.431
13		Jason Witten DAL		73.5		46		1.598
14		Jared Cook STL		71.4		42		1.700
15		Timothy Wright NE		59		25		2.360
16		Zach Ertz PHI		65.9		36		1.831
17		Daniel Fells NYG		37.2		13		2.862
18		Mychal Rivera OAK		68.4		48		1.425
19		Owen Daniels BAL		59.2		41		1.444
20		Andrew Quarless GB		47.9		26		1.842
21		Anthony Fasano KC		46.3		23		2.013
22		Jordan Cameron CLE		35.1		17		2.065
23		Jermaine Gresham CIN		55.8		50		1.116
24		Lance Kendricks STL		43.7		23		1.900
25		Charles Clay MIA		50.7		41		1.237
26		Scott Chandler BUF		53.8		40		1.345
27		Niles Paul WAS		51.1		36		1.419
28		John Carlson ARI		37.8		29		1.303
29		Vernon Davis SF		36		26		1.385
30		Jace Amaro NYJ		41.1		34		1.209
31		Jordan Reed WAS		37.7		36		1.047