Hello and welcome to Market Fantasy!
Below are my efficiency rankings. The idea is similar to my consistency rankings in how they are calculated, but looking at a different set of metrics. The consistency rankings are really more of a predictive tool than a rank, in that by showing a players average performance and standard deviation within those performances, we can get an idea of what to expect from a player in a given week.
The efficiency rankings below are based on two metrics: total number of touches and points per touch. Total number of touches is the number of times a player touches the football, either via reception or carry. Points per touch is the number of fantasy points a player scores each time they touch the ball (YTD fantasy points divided by total touches).
The idea in calculating where a player ranks is similar to how I get to my consistency ranks. In calculating the consistency ranks, more weight is given to players with higher average scores, since they are high performers, but also lowest standard deviation. A lower standard deviation gives us a smaller range of outcomes when predicting what their score will be. In calculating the below efficiency ranks, the most weight is given to the highest touches, along with the highest points per touch. The idea is to find the players who will touch the ball the most and score the most points each time they do so. A player like Antone Smith has a very high points per touch among running backs, but also a smaller workload, so a big game is blown out of proportion some.
One last note on the ranks: running backs will have a lower points per touch than wide receivers and tight ends due to both the higher number of touches and the nature of their touches. Whereas a receiver might average 15 yards (1.5 points) per reception, a good running back only averages 4.5 (.45 points) yards per carry (and a little more per reception).
RB:
Rank
|
Player
|
MF Pts
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
|
1
|
Marshawn Lynch SEA
|
85.4
|
93
|
0.918
|
2
|
Arian Foster HOU
|
92.4
|
122
|
0.757
|
3
|
Giovani Bernard CIN
|
80.2
|
104
|
0.771
|
4
|
DeMarco Murray DAL
|
122
|
180
|
0.678
|
5
|
Justin Forsett BAL
|
70.6
|
87
|
0.811
|
6
|
Ahmad Bradshaw IND
|
74
|
81
|
0.914
|
7
|
Matt Forte CHI
|
93.5
|
145
|
0.645
|
8
|
Le'Veon Bell PIT
|
85.3
|
133
|
0.641
|
9
|
Lamar Miller MIA
|
60.3
|
78
|
0.773
|
10
|
Fred Jackson BUF
|
59.2
|
82
|
0.722
|
11
|
Matt Asiata MIN
|
57.5
|
77
|
0.747
|
12
|
Branden Oliver SD
|
55.3
|
69
|
0.801
|
13
|
Rashad Jennings NYG
|
60.5
|
102
|
0.593
|
14
|
Frank Gore SF
|
59.1
|
97
|
0.609
|
15
|
Alfred Morris WAS
|
60.5
|
102
|
0.593
|
16
|
Andre Ellington ARI
|
59.3
|
100
|
0.593
|
17
|
Chris Ivory NYJ
|
52.9
|
75
|
0.705
|
18
|
Darren Sproles PHI
|
56.9
|
48
|
1.185
|
19
|
Knile Davis KC
|
52.8
|
81
|
0.652
|
20
|
Eddie Lacy GB
|
54.2
|
90
|
0.602
|
21
|
Pierre Thomas NO
|
48.7
|
46
|
1.059
|
22
|
Jamaal Charles KC
|
41.8
|
51
|
0.820
|
23
|
Bobby Rainey TB
|
46.1
|
70
|
0.659
|
24
|
Isaiah Crowell CLE
|
46
|
45
|
1.022
|
25
|
Khiry Robinson NO
|
43
|
64
|
0.672
|
26
|
Jeremy Hill CIN
|
43.8
|
45
|
0.973
|
27
|
Roy Helu WAS
|
42.3
|
37
|
1.143
|
28
|
Trent Richardson IND
|
51.3
|
102
|
0.503
|
29
|
Darrel Young WAS
|
22.4
|
8
|
2.800
|
30
|
Antone Smith ATL
|
62.6
|
23
|
2.722
|
31
|
Mark Ingram NO
|
34.5
|
28
|
1.232
|
32
|
LeSean McCoy PHI
|
53.6
|
132
|
0.406
|
33
|
Stevan Ridley NE
|
48
|
98
|
0.490
|
34
|
Steven Jackson ATL
|
44
|
78
|
0.564
|
35
|
Terrance West CLE
|
38.2
|
58
|
0.659
|
36
|
LeGarrette Blount PIT
|
35
|
40
|
0.875
|
37
|
Shane Vereen NE
|
39
|
60
|
0.650
|
38
|
Ben Tate CLE
|
36.1
|
54
|
0.669
|
39
|
Lorenzo Taliaferro BAL
|
33.4
|
42
|
0.795
|
40
|
Joique Bell DET
|
42.2
|
77
|
0.548
|
41
|
Benny Cunningham STL
|
32.8
|
45
|
0.729
|
42
|
C.J. Spiller BUF
|
38
|
81
|
0.469
|
43
|
Reggie Bush DET
|
36.3
|
65
|
0.558
|
44
|
Zac Stacy STL
|
37.5
|
73
|
0.514
|
45
|
Darren McFadden OAK
|
37.2
|
72
|
0.517
|
46
|
Andre Williams NYG
|
37.4
|
75
|
0.499
|
47
|
Chris Johnson NYJ
|
34
|
61
|
0.557
|
48
|
Bishop Sankey TEN
|
31
|
54
|
0.574
|
49
|
Knowshon Moreno MIA
|
21.6
|
32
|
0.675
|
50
|
Jerick McKinnon MIN
|
30.1
|
55
|
0.547
|
51
|
Carlos Hyde SF
|
27
|
49
|
0.551
|
52
|
Montee Ball DEN
|
27.4
|
64
|
0.428
|
53
|
Shonn Greene TEN
|
25
|
44
|
0.568
|
54
|
Toby Gerhart JAC
|
24.6
|
56
|
0.439
|
55
|
Doug Martin TB
|
25.4
|
55
|
0.462
|
56
|
Jonathan Stewart CAR
|
20.6
|
36
|
0.572
|
57
|
Bernard Pierce BAL
|
22.2
|
48
|
0.463
|
58
|
Ronnie Hillman DEN
|
18.9
|
45
|
0.420
|
WR:
Rank
|
Player
|
MF Pts
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
|
1
|
Jordy Nelson GB
|
93.2
|
43
|
2.167
|
2
|
Antonio Brown PIT
|
93.7
|
44
|
2.130
|
3
|
Steve Smith BAL
|
79.3
|
35
|
2.266
|
4
|
Randall Cobb GB
|
75.8
|
32
|
2.369
|
5
|
Demaryius Thomas DEN
|
73.1
|
31
|
2.358
|
6
|
Jeremy Maclin PHI
|
68.5
|
27
|
2.537
|
7
|
DeSean Jackson WAS
|
65.5
|
25
|
2.620
|
8
|
Julio Jones ATL
|
78.1
|
45
|
1.736
|
9
|
Dez Bryant DAL
|
67.9
|
36
|
1.886
|
10
|
Kelvin Benjamin CAR
|
63.6
|
31
|
2.052
|
11
|
Eddie Royal SD
|
62.4
|
24
|
2.600
|
12
|
Alshon Jeffery CHI
|
64
|
36
|
1.778
|
13
|
Brandon Marshall CHI
|
58.1
|
25
|
2.324
|
14
|
T.Y. Hilton IND
|
66.9
|
41
|
1.632
|
15
|
DeAndre Hopkins HOU
|
54.6
|
25
|
2.184
|
16
|
Mohamed Sanu CIN
|
53.8
|
28
|
1.921
|
17
|
Mike Wallace MIA
|
54.5
|
27
|
2.019
|
18
|
Terrance Williams DAL
|
62
|
18
|
3.444
|
19
|
Brian Quick STL
|
51.2
|
22
|
2.327
|
20
|
Golden Tate DET
|
55.9
|
39
|
1.433
|
21
|
Allen Hurns JAC
|
47.8
|
18
|
2.656
|
22
|
James Jones OAK
|
48.8
|
26
|
1.877
|
23
|
Michael Crabtree SF
|
47.9
|
29
|
1.652
|
24
|
Malcom Floyd SD
|
54.2
|
17
|
3.188
|
25
|
Calvin Johnson DET
|
46.8
|
22
|
2.127
|
26
|
Julian Edelman NE
|
51.4
|
45
|
1.142
|
27
|
Reggie Wayne IND
|
47.9
|
34
|
1.409
|
28
|
Vincent Jackson TB
|
46.4
|
25
|
1.856
|
29
|
Eric Decker NYJ
|
43.8
|
20
|
2.190
|
30
|
Emmanuel Sanders DEN
|
49
|
39
|
1.256
|
31
|
A.J. Green CIN
|
41.9
|
18
|
2.328
|
32
|
Anquan Boldin SF
|
45.7
|
32
|
1.428
|
33
|
Sammy Watkins BUF
|
43.1
|
26
|
1.658
|
34
|
Brandon LaFell NE
|
46.2
|
15
|
3.080
|
35
|
Pierre Garcon WAS
|
42.9
|
30
|
1.430
|
36
|
Brandon Lloyd SF
|
24.9
|
7
|
3.557
|
37
|
Andre Holmes OAK
|
44.9
|
15
|
2.993
|
38
|
Kendall Wright TEN
|
43.2
|
28
|
1.543
|
39
|
Andre Johnson HOU
|
43.9
|
34
|
1.291
|
40
|
Torrey Smith BAL
|
40.7
|
15
|
2.713
|
41
|
Travis Benjamin CLE
|
33.9
|
12
|
2.825
|
42
|
Brandin Cooks NO
|
37.9
|
37
|
1.024
|
43
|
Victor Cruz NYG
|
39.7
|
23
|
1.726
|
44
|
Devin Hester ATL
|
37.8
|
17
|
2.224
|
45
|
Mike Evans TB
|
37.8
|
21
|
1.800
|
46
|
Justin Hunter TEN
|
37.4
|
15
|
2.493
|
47
|
Roddy White ATL
|
37.3
|
19
|
1.963
|
48
|
Michael Floyd ARI
|
36.8
|
17
|
2.165
|
49
|
Rueben Randle NYG
|
36.7
|
28
|
1.311
|
50
|
Percy Harvin SEA
|
26.5
|
33
|
0.803
|
51
|
Cordarrelle Patterson MIN
|
36.1
|
22
|
1.641
|
52
|
Steve Johnson SF
|
35.6
|
20
|
1.780
|
53
|
John Brown ARI
|
33.8
|
16
|
2.113
|
54
|
Jordan Matthews PHI
|
34.6
|
23
|
1.504
|
55
|
Andre Roberts WAS
|
34
|
22
|
1.545
|
56
|
Allen Robinson JAC
|
31.1
|
30
|
1.037
|
57
|
Louis Murphy TB
|
32.6
|
16
|
2.038
|
58
|
Keenan Allen SD
|
29.6
|
28
|
1.057
|
59
|
Greg Jennings MIN
|
32.8
|
20
|
1.640
|
60
|
Miles Austin CLE
|
31.8
|
18
|
1.767
|
61
|
Markus Wheaton PIT
|
29.2
|
27
|
1.081
|
62
|
Jermaine Kearse SEA
|
22.8
|
11
|
2.073
|
63
|
Larry Fitzgerald ARI
|
30.2
|
19
|
1.589
|
64
|
Marques Colston NO
|
28.8
|
15
|
1.920
|
65
|
Robert Woods BUF
|
29.4
|
21
|
1.400
|
66
|
Kenny Britt STL
|
26.7
|
14
|
1.907
|
67
|
Andrew Hawkins CLE
|
27
|
24
|
1.125
|
68
|
Riley Cooper PHI
|
25.7
|
24
|
1.071
|
69
|
Jeremy Kerley NYJ
|
26.9
|
20
|
1.345
|
70
|
Jerricho Cotchery CAR
|
26.2
|
20
|
1.310
|
71
|
Hakeem Nicks IND
|
26.1
|
17
|
1.535
|
72
|
Jarius Wright MIN
|
22.9
|
20
|
1.145
|
73
|
Jason Avant CAR
|
23.9
|
17
|
1.406
|
74
|
Davante Adams GB
|
22.7
|
16
|
1.419
|
75
|
Cecil Shorts JAC
|
20.3
|
17
|
1.194
|
TE:
Rank
|
Player
|
MF Pts
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
|
1
|
Julius Thomas DEN
|
81.7
|
24
|
3.404
|
2
|
Greg Olsen CAR
|
68.8
|
33
|
2.085
|
3
|
Antonio Gates SD
|
66.2
|
24
|
2.758
|
4
|
Delanie Walker TEN
|
60.1
|
29
|
2.072
|
5
|
Rob Gronkowski NE
|
58.1
|
26
|
2.235
|
6
|
Martellus Bennett CHI
|
60.4
|
36
|
1.678
|
7
|
Larry Donnell NYG
|
46.2
|
26
|
1.777
|
8
|
Jimmy Graham NO
|
53.6
|
34
|
1.576
|
9
|
Dwayne Allen IND
|
49.3
|
18
|
2.739
|
10
|
Travis Kelce KC
|
45.4
|
20
|
2.270
|
11
|
Zach Ertz PHI
|
40.6
|
19
|
2.137
|
12
|
Coby Fleener IND
|
33
|
13
|
2.538
|
13
|
Daniel Fells NYG
|
23.8
|
8
|
2.975
|
14
|
Josh Hill NO
|
23.2
|
7
|
3.314
|
15
|
Jordan Cameron CLE
|
26.5
|
9
|
2.944
|
16
|
Timothy Wright NE
|
24.1
|
10
|
2.410
|
17
|
Niles Paul WAS
|
36.6
|
23
|
1.591
|
18
|
Owen Daniels BAL
|
33.7
|
21
|
1.605
|
19
|
Heath Miller PIT
|
30.2
|
26
|
1.162
|
20
|
Jared Cook STL
|
29.5
|
24
|
1.229
|
21
|
Clay Harbor JAC
|
24.3
|
14
|
1.736
|
22
|
Jason Witten DAL
|
29.9
|
21
|
1.424
|
23
|
Vernon Davis SF
|
24.1
|
12
|
2.008
|
24
|
Lance Kendricks STL
|
23
|
13
|
1.769
|
25
|
Jace Amaro NYJ
|
27.2
|
24
|
1.133
|
26
|
Andrew Quarless GB
|
22.7
|
12
|
1.892
|
27
|
Scott Chandler BUF
|
24.2
|
19
|
1.274
|
28
|
Anthony Fasano KC
|
18.3
|
12
|
1.525
|
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