Week 4 Efficiency Rankings

Hello and welcome to Market Fantasy!

Below are my efficiency rankings. The idea is similar to my consistency rankings in how they are calculated, but looking at a different set of metrics. The consistency rankings are really more of a predictive tool than a rank, in that by showing a players average performance and standard deviation within those performances, we can get an idea of what to expect from a player in a given week.

The efficiency rankings below are based on two metrics: total number of touches and points per touch. Total number of touches is the number of times a player touches the football, either via reception or carry. Points per touch is the number of fantasy points a player scores each time they touch the ball (YTD fantasy points divided by total touches).

The idea in calculating where a player ranks is similar to how I get to my consistency ranks. In calculating the consistency ranks, more weight is given to players with higher average scores, since they are high performers, but also lowest standard deviation. A lower standard deviation gives us a smaller range of outcomes when predicting what their score will be. In calculating the below efficiency ranks, the most weight is given to the highest touches, along with the highest points per touch. The idea is to find the players who will touch the ball the most and score the most points each time they do so. A player like Darrel Young has a very high points per touch among running backs, but also a smaller workload, so a big game is blown out of proportion some.

One last note on the ranks: running backs will have a lower points per touch than wide receivers and tight ends due to both the higher number of touches and the nature of their touches. Whereas a receiver might average 15 yards (1.5 points) per reception, a good running back only averages 4.5 (.45 points) yards per carry (and a little more per reception).

Rank	Player	Touches	Pts/Touch
1	DeMarco Murray DAL	108	0.78
2	Marshawn Lynch SEA	60	1.03
3	Le'Veon Bell PIT	91	0.69
4	Giovani Bernard CIN	67	0.77
5	Matt Asiata MIN	59	0.86
6	Lamar Miller MIA	61	0.77
7	Alfred Morris WAS	74	0.71
8	Knile Davis KC	79	0.66
9	Chris Ivory NYJ	57	0.81
10	Frank Gore SF	62	0.72
11	Rashad Jennings NYG	90	0.59
12	Ahmad Bradshaw IND	48	1.16
13	Justin Forsett BAL	60	0.73
14	Darren Sproles PHI	34	1.23
15	Matt Forte CHI	89	0.51
16	Jamaal Charles KC	35	0.95
17	Mark Ingram NO	28	1.23
18	C.J. Spiller BUF	62	0.56
19	Fred Jackson BUF	51	0.75
20	Arian Foster HOU	74	0.50
21	Trent Richardson IND	72	0.51
22	Antone Smith ATL	13	2.71
23	Isaiah Crowell CLE	28	1.16
24	LeGarrette Blount PIT	21	1.32
25	Darrel Young WAS	8	2.80
26	Lorenzo Taliaferro BAL	33	0.82
27	Roy Helu WAS	25	1.20
28	Jeremy Hill CIN	28	0.98
29	LeSean McCoy PHI	80	0.40
30	Terrance West CLE	51	0.69
31	Chris Johnson NYJ	49	0.67
32	Reggie Bush DET	57	0.56
33	Pierre Thomas NO	34	0.75
34	Bishop Sankey TEN	27	0.80
35	Bobby Rainey TB	54	0.59
36	Stevan Ridley NE	60	0.46
37	Carlos Hyde SF	27	0.79
38	Darren McFadden OAK	56	0.51
39	Shane Vereen NE	42	0.65
40	Knowshon Moreno MIA	25	0.79
41	Khiry Robinson NO	42	0.65
42	Steven Jackson ATL	54	0.52
43	Joique Bell DET	57	0.46
44	Eddie Lacy GB	60	0.42
45	Zac Stacy STL	48	0.59
46	Montee Ball DEN	56	0.46
47	Andre Ellington ARI	55	0.43
48	Jonathan Stewart CAR	36	0.57
49	Shonn Greene TEN	33	0.65
50	Jerick McKinnon MIN	28	0.62
51	Toby Gerhart JAC	51	0.43

Rank	Player	Touches	Pts/Touch
1	Antonio Brown PIT	31	2.38
2	Steve Smith BAL	25	2.44
3	Julio Jones ATL	29	2.09
4	Randall Cobb GB	23	2.37
5	Jordy Nelson GB	33	1.94
6	Jeremy Maclin PHI	20	2.67
7	Kelvin Benjamin CAR	21	2.42
8	DeAndre Hopkins HOU	18	2.62
9	Eddie Royal SD	19	2.50
10	Dez Bryant DAL	23	2.05
11	Brandon Marshall CHI	16	2.65
12	Calvin Johnson DET	21	2.20
13	Terrance Williams DAL	14	2.99
14	Mike Wallace MIA	22	1.90
15	Victor Cruz NYG	18	1.99
16	Allen Hurns JAC	12	3.62
17	Reggie Wayne IND	23	1.60
18	Devin Hester ATL	13	2.58
19	Cordarrelle Patterson MIN	17	1.98
20	James Jones OAK	21	1.77
21	Michael Crabtree SF	25	1.42
22	Eric Decker NYJ	14	2.31
23	Alshon Jeffery CHI	23	1.51
24	Julian Edelman NE	30	1.26
25	Emmanuel Sanders DEN	27	1.27
26	Sammy Watkins BUF	17	1.86
27	John Brown ARI	10	2.91
28	Pierre Garcon WAS	24	1.31
29	Roddy White ATL	14	2.19
30	Golden Tate DET	25	1.28
31	A.J. Green CIN	13	2.29
32	Malcom Floyd SD	9	3.41
33	Brandin Cooks NO	26	1.18
34	Brian Quick STL	16	1.84
35	T.Y. Hilton IND	23	1.29
36	Ricardo Lockette SEA	4	4.98
37	Mike Williams BUF	7	2.77
38	Greg Jennings MIN	15	1.76
39	Mike Evans TB	17	1.55
40	Torrey Smith BAL	8	2.48
41	Vincent Jackson TB	13	1.95
42	Michael Floyd ARI	12	2.12
43	Jordan Matthews PHI	15	1.74
44	DeSean Jackson WAS	16	1.61
45	Brandon LaFell NE	10	2.25
46	Greg Salas NYJ	5	2.56
47	Keenan Allen SD	22	1.11
48	Miles Austin CLE	14	1.68
49	Andrew Hawkins CLE	21	1.16
50	Steve Johnson SF	14	1.67
51	Jeremy Kerley NYJ	16	1.51
52	Marques Colston NO	12	1.88
53	Travis Benjamin CLE	6	2.28
54	Markus Wheaton PIT	22	1.10
55	Andre Johnson HOU	22	1.10
56	Andre Holmes OAK	11	1.89
57	Mohamed Sanu CIN	13	1.75
58	Austin Pettis STL	6	2.23
59	Andre Roberts WAS	12	1.80
60	Percy Harvin SEA	21	1.10
61	Brian Hartline MIA	16	1.38
62	Kendall Wright TEN	19	1.14
63	Rueben Randle NYG	19	1.14
64	Anquan Boldin SF	21	1.10
65	Hakeem Nicks IND	12	1.78
66	Damaris Johnson HOU	7	1.99
67	Demaryius Thomas DEN	13	1.55
68	Allen Robinson JAC	17	1.13
69	Jeremy Ross DET	8	1.79
70	Harry Douglas ATL	12	1.51
71	Rod Streater OAK	9	1.60
72	Donnie Avery KC	14	1.11
73	Dwayne Bowe KC	11	1.39
74	Jerricho Cotchery CAR	13	1.22
75	Jason Avant CAR	10	1.50
76	Jarius Wright MIN	12	1.37
77	Justin Hunter TEN	9	1.53
78	Kenny Stills NO	9	1.39

Rank	Player	Touches	Pts/Touch
1	Delanie Walker TEN	22	2.26
2	Martellus Bennett CHI	29	1.84
3	Julius Thomas DEN	14	3.29
4	Antonio Gates SD	17	2.32
5	Larry Donnell NYG	25	1.82
6	Travis Kelce KC	18	2.11
7	Jimmy Graham NO	32	1.56
8	Rob Gronkowski NE	13	2.52
9	Dwayne Allen IND	11	2.95
10	Greg Olsen CAR	21	1.78
11	Josh Hill NO	4	4.48
12	Niles Paul WAS	21	1.68
13	Daniel Fells NYG	6	3.63
14	Vernon Davis SF	9	2.34
15	Coby Fleener IND	10	2.29
16	Zach Ertz PHI	13	2.00
17	Heath Miller PIT	21	1.13
18	Owen Daniels BAL	14	1.66
19	Jared Cook STL	16	1.11
20	Marcedes Lewis JAC	8	2.08
21	Jason Witten DAL	15	1.04
22	Kyle Rudolph MIN	10	1.56