Hello and welcome to Market Fantasy!
Below are my efficiency rankings. The idea is similar to my consistency rankings in how they are calculated, but looking at a different set of metrics. The consistency rankings are really more of a predictive tool than a rank, in that by showing a players average performance and standard deviation within those performances, we can get an idea of what to expect from a player in a given week.
The efficiency rankings below are based on two metrics: total number of touches and points per touch. Total number of touches is the number of times a player touches the football, either via reception or carry. Points per touch is the number of fantasy points a player scores each time they touch the ball (YTD fantasy points divided by total touches).
The idea in calculating where a player ranks is similar to how I get to my consistency ranks. In calculating the consistency ranks, more weight is given to players with higher average scores, since they are high performers, but also lowest standard deviation. A lower standard deviation gives us a smaller range of outcomes when predicting what their score will be. In calculating the below efficiency ranks, the most weight is given to the highest touches, along with the highest points per touch. The idea is to find the players who will touch the ball the most and score the most points each time they do so. A player like James Starks has a very high points per touch among running backs, but also a smaller workload, so a big game is blown out of proportion some.
One last note on the ranks: running backs will have a lower points per touch than wide receivers and tight ends due to both the higher number of touches and the nature of their touches. Whereas a receiver might average 15 yards (1.5 points) per reception, a good running back only averages 4.5 (.45 points) yards per carry (and a little more per reception).
So scroll through and let me know what you think. These ranks are a work in progress and I still haven’t decided if I like using touches or looks (targets instead of receptions plus carries) better. For now, I like touches since I am of the mind that a non-catch on a target isn’t always the receiver’s fault, whereas a catch almost always is caused by the receiver. I’ll keep thinking about it.
Thanks for reading!
RB:
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Lynch, Marshawn RB SEA
|
232
|
0.770
| ||||
2
|
McCoy, LeSean RB PHI
|
247
|
0.708
| ||||
3
|
Moreno, Knowshon RB DEN
|
187
|
0.789
| ||||
4
|
Forte, Matt RB CHI
|
224
|
0.718
| ||||
5
|
Peterson, Adrian RB MIN
|
218
|
0.722
| ||||
6
|
Charles, Jamaal RB KC
|
235
|
0.692
| ||||
7
|
Bernard, Giovani RB CIN
|
147
|
0.822
| ||||
8
|
Johnson, Chris RB TEN
|
191
|
0.628
| ||||
9
|
Jackson, Fred RB BUF
|
174
|
0.694
| ||||
10
|
Gore, Frank RB SF
|
187
|
0.670
| ||||
11
|
Bush, Reggie RB DET
|
181
|
0.674
| ||||
12
|
Morris, Alfred RB WAS
|
184
|
0.663
| ||||
13
|
Sproles, Darren RB NO
|
86
|
0.941
| ||||
14
|
Ellington, Andre RB ARI
|
88
|
0.906
| ||||
15
|
Lacy, Eddie RB GB
|
188
|
0.578
| ||||
16
|
Bell, Joique RB DET
|
111
|
0.856
| ||||
17
|
Woodhead, Danny RB SD
|
119
|
0.777
| ||||
18
|
Brown, Donald RB IND
|
70
|
1.023
| ||||
19
|
Ridley, Stevan RB NE
|
140
|
0.701
| ||||
20
|
Helu, Roy RB WAS
|
63
|
1.008
| ||||
21
|
Tolbert, Mike RB CAR
|
80
|
0.861
| ||||
22
|
Murray, DeMarco RB DAL
|
142
|
0.688
| ||||
23
|
Thomas, Pierre RB NO
|
158
|
0.622
| ||||
24
|
Mathews, Ryan RB SD
|
160
|
0.569
| ||||
25
|
Starks, James RB GB
|
59
|
0.883
| ||||
26
|
Rainey, Bobby RB TB
|
58
|
0.890
| ||||
27
|
Jennings, Rashad RB OAK
|
116
|
0.679
| ||||
28
|
Ogbonnaya, Chris RB CLE
|
61
|
0.831
| ||||
29
|
Stacy, Zac RB STL
|
144
|
0.607
| ||||
30
|
Bell, Le'Veon RB PIT
|
144
|
0.592
| ||||
31
|
Jones-Drew, Maurice RB JAC
|
181
|
0.470
| ||||
32
|
Snelling, Jason RB ATL
|
55
|
0.856
| ||||
33
|
Rice, Ray RB BAL
|
176
|
0.453
| ||||
34
|
Williams, DeAngelo RB CAR
|
158
|
0.521
| ||||
35
|
Bolden, Brandon RB NE
|
55
|
0.785
| ||||
36
|
Rodgers, Jacquizz RB ATL
|
115
|
0.626
| ||||
37
|
Thomas, Daniel RB MIA
|
84
|
0.670
| ||||
38
|
Jacobs, Brandon RB NYG
|
51
|
0.776
| ||||
39
|
Hunter, Kendall RB SF
|
52
|
0.754
| ||||
40
|
Tate, Ben RB HOU
|
146
|
0.448
| ||||
41
|
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus RB CIN
|
158
|
0.437
| ||||
42
|
Miller, Lamar RB MIA
|
121
|
0.552
| ||||
43
|
McFadden, Darren RB OAK
|
111
|
0.592
| ||||
44
|
Powell, Bilal RB NYJ
|
134
|
0.492
| ||||
45
|
Richardson, Trent RB IND
|
146
|
0.441
| ||||
46
|
Spiller, C.J. RB BUF
|
144
|
0.447
| ||||
47
|
Mendenhall, Rashard RB ARI
|
132
|
0.473
| ||||
48
|
Ivory, Chris RB NYJ
|
108
|
0.542
| ||||
49
|
Blount, LeGarrette RB NE
|
80
|
0.576
| ||||
50
|
Ball, Montee RB DEN
|
73
|
0.555
| ||||
51
|
Pierce, Bernard RB BAL
|
112
|
0.401
| ||||
52
|
Jackson, Steven RB ATL
|
75
|
0.485
| ||||
WR:
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Johnson, Calvin WR DET
|
59
|
2.920
| ||||
2
|
Thomas, Demaryius WR DEN
|
60
|
2.423
| ||||
3
|
Jackson, DeSean WR PHI
|
58
|
2.422
| ||||
4
|
Nelson, Jordy WR GB
|
57
|
2.296
| ||||
5
|
Green, A.J. WR CIN
|
67
|
2.060
| ||||
6
|
Marshall, Brandon WR CHI
|
64
|
2.044
| ||||
7
|
Bryant, Dez WR DAL
|
53
|
2.283
| ||||
8
|
Welker, Wes WR DEN
|
61
|
1.915
| ||||
9
|
Hilton, T.Y. WR IND
|
48
|
2.110
| ||||
10
|
Johnson, Andre WR HOU
|
72
|
1.758
| ||||
11
|
Jackson, Vincent WR TB
|
56
|
2.013
| ||||
12
|
Gordon, Josh WR CLE
|
43
|
2.379
| ||||
13
|
Smith, Torrey WR BAL
|
46
|
2.098
| ||||
14
|
Cruz, Victor WR NYG
|
58
|
1.834
| ||||
15
|
Jeffery, Alshon WR CHI
|
66
|
1.680
| ||||
16
|
Brown, Antonio WR PIT
|
79
|
1.599
| ||||
17
|
Jones, Marvin WR CIN
|
35
|
2.651
| ||||
18
|
Cooper, Riley WR PHI
|
31
|
3.323
| ||||
19
|
Cotchery, Jerricho WR PIT
|
35
|
2.623
| ||||
20
|
Decker, Eric WR DEN
|
54
|
1.763
| ||||
21
|
Garcon, Pierre WR WAS
|
69
|
1.551
| ||||
22
|
Moore, Denarius WR OAK
|
37
|
2.349
| ||||
23
|
Fitzgerald, Larry WR ARI
|
46
|
1.952
| ||||
24
|
Tate, Golden WR SEA
|
44
|
1.975
| ||||
25
|
Williams, Terrance WR DAL
|
32
|
2.444
| ||||
26
|
Randle, Rueben WR NYG
|
29
|
2.759
| ||||
27
|
Royal, Eddie WR SD
|
31
|
2.584
| ||||
28
|
Floyd, Michael WR ARI
|
42
|
1.993
| ||||
29
|
Stills, Kenny WR NO
|
21
|
3.295
| ||||
30
|
Boldin, Anquan WR SF
|
47
|
1.723
| ||||
31
|
Allen, Keenan WR SD
|
41
|
1.934
| ||||
32
|
Douglas, Harry WR ATL
|
51
|
1.635
| ||||
33
|
Baldwin, Doug WR SEA
|
37
|
2.078
| ||||
34
|
Thompkins, Kenbrell WR NE
|
25
|
2.536
| ||||
35
|
Dobson, Aaron WR NE
|
35
|
2.091
| ||||
36
|
Wright, Kendall WR TEN
|
59
|
1.220
| ||||
37
|
Ginn, Ted WR CAR
|
26
|
2.304
| ||||
38
|
LaFell, Brandon WR CAR
|
39
|
1.815
| ||||
39
|
Brown, Marlon WR BAL
|
28
|
2.161
| ||||
40
|
Washington, Nate WR TEN
|
31
|
2.068
| ||||
41
|
Hartline, Brian WR MIA
|
48
|
1.498
| ||||
42
|
Shorts, Cecil WR JAC
|
50
|
1.378
| ||||
43
|
Edelman, Julian WR NE
|
54
|
1.169
| ||||
44
|
Jones, James WR GB
|
27
|
2.093
| ||||
45
|
Smith, Steve WR CAR
|
46
|
1.504
| ||||
46
|
Hopkins, DeAndre WR HOU
|
38
|
1.700
| ||||
47
|
Sanders, Emmanuel WR PIT
|
43
|
1.521
| ||||
48
|
Colston, Marques WR NO
|
39
|
1.664
| ||||
49
|
Johnson, Steve WR BUF
|
42
|
1.574
| ||||
50
|
Streater, Rod WR OAK
|
37
|
1.741
| ||||
51
|
Wayne, Reggie WR IND
|
39
|
1.610
| ||||
52
|
Wallace, Mike WR MIA
|
46
|
1.335
| ||||
53
|
Hankerson, Leonard WR WAS
|
30
|
1.850
| ||||
54
|
Bowe, Dwayne WR KC
|
37
|
1.638
| ||||
55
|
Pettis, Austin WR STL
|
28
|
1.918
| ||||
56
|
Nicks, Hakeem WR NYG
|
42
|
1.476
| ||||
57
|
Boykin, Jarrett WR GB
|
29
|
1.769
| ||||
58
|
Austin, Tavon WR STL
|
39
|
1.500
| ||||
59
|
Jennings, Greg WR MIN
|
34
|
1.559
| ||||
TE:
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Graham, Jimmy TE NO
|
60
|
2.410
| ||||
2
|
Thomas, Julius TE DEN
|
45
|
2.644
| ||||
3
|
Davis, Vernon TE SF
|
34
|
3.038
| ||||
4
|
Cameron, Jordan TE CLE
|
56
|
1.766
| ||||
5
|
Olsen, Greg TE CAR
|
40
|
1.830
| ||||
6
|
Walker, Delanie TE TEN
|
39
|
1.803
| ||||
7
|
Clay, Charles TE MIA
|
47
|
1.679
| ||||
8
|
Bennett, Martellus TE CHI
|
42
|
1.688
| ||||
9
|
Witten, Jason TE DAL
|
47
|
1.643
| ||||
10
|
Graham, Garrett TE HOU
|
33
|
1.891
| ||||
11
|
Gonzalez, Tony TE ATL
|
54
|
1.496
| ||||
12
|
Fleener, Coby TE IND
|
37
|
1.673
| ||||
13
|
Cook, Jared TE STL
|
33
|
1.782
| ||||
14
|
Clark, Dallas TE BAL
|
27
|
1.819
| ||||
15
|
Gates, Antonio TE SD
|
56
|
1.471
| ||||
16
|
Finley, Jermichael TE GB
|
25
|
1.920
| ||||
17
|
Reed, Jordan TE WAS
|
46
|
1.515
| ||||
18
|
Gronkowski, Rob TE NE
|
24
|
1.929
| ||||
19
|
Fauria, Joseph TE DET
|
10
|
4.200
| ||||
20
|
Miller, Zach TE SEA
|
22
|
1.945
| ||||
21
|
Celek, Brent TE PHI
|
19
|
2.474
| ||||
22
|
Cumberland, Jeff TE NYJ
|
18
|
2.517
| ||||
23
|
Rudolph, Kyle TE MIN
|
30
|
1.643
| ||||
24
|
Daniels, Owen TE HOU
|
24
|
1.800
| ||||
25
|
Chandler, Scott TE BUF
|
37
|
1.481
| ||||
26
|
Wright, Timothy TE TB
|
26
|
1.581
| ||||
27
|
Gresham, Jermaine TE CIN
|
35
|
1.280
| ||||
28
|
Eifert, Tyler TE CIN
|
31
|
1.410
| ||||
29
|
Pettigrew, Brandon TE DET
|
34
|
1.094
| ||||
30
|
Rivera, Mychal TE OAK
|
23
|
1.609
| ||||
31
|
Winslow, Kellen TE NYJ
|
18
|
1.700
| ||||
32
|
Miller, Heath TE PIT
|
33
|
1.155
| ||||
33
|
Myers, Brandon TE NYG
|
26
|
1.373
| ||||
34
|
Ertz, Zach TE PHI
|
21
|
1.590
| ||||
35
|
Kendricks, Lance TE STL
|
23
|
1.530
| ||||
36
|
McGrath, Sean TE KC
|
20
|
1.530
| ||||
37
|
Housler, Rob TE ARI
|
24
|
1.342
| ||||
38
|
Carlson, John TE MIN
|
23
|
1.165
|
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