Hello and welcome to Market Fantasy!
Below are my efficiency rankings. The idea is similar to my consistency rankings in how they are calculated, but looking at a different set of metrics. The consistency rankings are really more of a predictive tool than a rank, in that by showing a players average performance and standard deviation within those performances, we can get an idea of what to expect from a player in a given week.
The efficiency rankings below are based on two metrics: total number of touches and points per touch. Total number of touches is the number of times a player touches the football, either via reception or carry. Points per touch is the number of fantasy points a player scores each time they touch the ball (YTD fantasy points divided by total touches).
The idea in calculating where a player ranks is similar to how I get to my consistency ranks. In calculating the consistency ranks, more weight is given to players with higher average scores, since they are high performers, but also lowest standard deviation. A lower standard deviation gives us a smaller range of outcomes when predicting what their score will be. In calculating the below efficiency ranks, the most weight is given to the highest touches, along with the highest points per touch. The idea is to find the players who will touch the ball the most and score the most points each time they do so. A player like Antone Smith has a very high points per touch among running backs, but also a smaller workload, so a big game is blown out of proportion some.
One last note on the ranks: running backs will have a lower points per touch than wide receivers and tight ends due to both the higher number of touches and the nature of their touches. Whereas a receiver might average 15 yards (1.5 points) per reception, a good running back only averages 4.5 (.45 points) yards per carry (and a little more per reception).
RB:
Player
|
MF Pts
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| ||||
Arian Foster HOU
|
161.1
|
187
|
0.861
| ||||
Marshawn Lynch SEA
|
125.2
|
154
|
0.813
| ||||
Matt Forte CHI
|
139.2
|
188
|
0.740
| ||||
Ahmad Bradshaw IND
|
115.4
|
117
|
0.986
| ||||
DeMarco Murray DAL
|
170.3
|
255
|
0.668
| ||||
Le'Veon Bell PIT
|
132.4
|
198
|
0.669
| ||||
Lamar Miller MIA
|
96.2
|
127
|
0.757
| ||||
Giovani Bernard CIN
|
92.5
|
131
|
0.706
| ||||
Justin Forsett BAL
|
99.1
|
144
|
0.688
| ||||
Jamaal Charles KC
|
94.4
|
115
|
0.821
| ||||
Chris Ivory NYJ
|
89.9
|
121
|
0.743
| ||||
Alfred Morris WAS
|
103.3
|
160
|
0.646
| ||||
Eddie Lacy GB
|
85.7
|
126
|
0.680
| ||||
Matt Asiata MIN
|
87.6
|
106
|
0.826
| ||||
Andre Ellington ARI
|
107.2
|
181
|
0.592
| ||||
Mark Ingram NO
|
83.9
|
96
|
0.874
| ||||
Jeremy Hill CIN
|
83
|
101
|
0.822
| ||||
Shane Vereen NE
|
79.6
|
100
|
0.796
| ||||
Ronnie Hillman DEN
|
73.3
|
103
|
0.712
| ||||
Branden Oliver SD
|
72
|
120
|
0.600
| ||||
Isaiah Crowell CLE
|
59.3
|
67
|
0.885
| ||||
Antone Smith ATL
|
64
|
31
|
2.065
| ||||
Darren Sproles PHI
|
63.2
|
55
|
1.149
| ||||
Knile Davis KC
|
68.2
|
111
|
0.614
| ||||
Roy Helu WAS
|
53.8
|
59
|
0.912
| ||||
Pierre Thomas NO
|
51.7
|
56
|
0.923
| ||||
Lorenzo Taliaferro BAL
|
56.1
|
65
|
0.863
| ||||
Trent Richardson IND
|
67.3
|
129
|
0.522
| ||||
Terrance West CLE
|
67.5
|
114
|
0.592
| ||||
Frank Gore SF
|
66.9
|
121
|
0.553
| ||||
LeSean McCoy PHI
|
75.6
|
181
|
0.418
| ||||
Bobby Rainey TB
|
64.8
|
104
|
0.623
| ||||
Fred Jackson BUF
|
62
|
88
|
0.705
| ||||
Ben Tate CLE
|
64.2
|
113
|
0.568
| ||||
Darren McFadden OAK
|
61.9
|
123
|
0.503
| ||||
Benny Cunningham STL
|
52
|
64
|
0.813
| ||||
Joique Bell DET
|
61
|
113
|
0.540
| ||||
Rashad Jennings NYG
|
60.5
|
102
|
0.593
| ||||
Denard Robinson JAC
|
60
|
99
|
0.606
| ||||
Steven Jackson ATL
|
58.5
|
105
|
0.557
| ||||
Khiry Robinson NO
|
43.6
|
67
|
0.651
| ||||
Jerick McKinnon MIN
|
55.2
|
110
|
0.502
| ||||
Chris Johnson NYJ
|
54.1
|
94
|
0.576
| ||||
Andre Williams NYG
|
53.1
|
106
|
0.501
| ||||
LeGarrette Blount PIT
|
40.2
|
66
|
0.609
| ||||
C.J. Spiller BUF
|
43.6
|
83
|
0.525
| ||||
Jonathan Stewart CAR
|
40.8
|
77
|
0.530
| ||||
Stevan Ridley NE
|
48
|
98
|
0.490
| ||||
Bishop Sankey TEN
|
42.6
|
83
|
0.513
| ||||
Zac Stacy STL
|
41.2
|
81
|
0.509
| ||||
WR:
Player
|
MF Pts
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| ||||
Jeremy Maclin PHI
|
127
|
45
|
2.822
| ||||
Demaryius Thomas DEN
|
125.4
|
54
|
2.322
| ||||
Randall Cobb GB
|
112.7
|
44
|
2.561
| ||||
Jordy Nelson GB
|
109.7
|
50
|
2.194
| ||||
Antonio Brown PIT
|
148.9
|
75
|
1.985
| ||||
T.Y. Hilton IND
|
112.2
|
57
|
1.968
| ||||
DeSean Jackson WAS
|
102
|
38
|
2.684
| ||||
Dez Bryant DAL
|
99.5
|
50
|
1.990
| ||||
Steve Smith BAL
|
93.1
|
46
|
2.024
| ||||
Mohamed Sanu CIN
|
92.8
|
45
|
2.062
| ||||
DeAndre Hopkins HOU
|
90.4
|
42
|
2.152
| ||||
Sammy Watkins BUF
|
89
|
38
|
2.342
| ||||
Kelvin Benjamin CAR
|
86.9
|
40
|
2.173
| ||||
Golden Tate DET
|
98.4
|
56
|
1.757
| ||||
Emmanuel Sanders DEN
|
104.8
|
62
|
1.690
| ||||
Brandon LaFell NE
|
81.4
|
36
|
2.261
| ||||
Allen Hurns JAC
|
76.6
|
29
|
2.641
| ||||
Julio Jones ATL
|
89.5
|
54
|
1.657
| ||||
Terrance Williams DAL
|
78.6
|
27
|
2.911
| ||||
Alshon Jeffery CHI
|
76.8
|
43
|
1.786
| ||||
Malcom Floyd SD
|
71
|
28
|
2.536
| ||||
Mike Wallace MIA
|
76.4
|
38
|
2.011
| ||||
Eddie Royal SD
|
67.3
|
28
|
2.404
| ||||
Mike Evans TB
|
70
|
32
|
2.188
| ||||
Torrey Smith BAL
|
67.1
|
22
|
3.050
| ||||
Andre Holmes OAK
|
64
|
25
|
2.560
| ||||
Julian Edelman NE
|
72.9
|
60
|
1.215
| ||||
Martavis Bryant PIT
|
47
|
11
|
4.273
| ||||
Eric Decker NYJ
|
66.6
|
40
|
1.665
| ||||
Brandon Marshall CHI
|
66.4
|
34
|
1.953
| ||||
Brandin Cooks NO
|
65.8
|
49
|
1.343
| ||||
Travis Benjamin CLE
|
43.7
|
17
|
2.571
| ||||
Anquan Boldin SF
|
66
|
45
|
1.467
| ||||
Brian Quick STL
|
55.5
|
25
|
2.220
| ||||
Percy Harvin NYJ
|
45.2
|
52
|
0.869
| ||||
Andre Johnson HOU
|
58.3
|
48
|
1.215
| ||||
Odell Beckham NYG
|
45.5
|
19
|
2.395
| ||||
Pierre Garcon WAS
|
63.8
|
42
|
1.519
| ||||
A.J. Green CIN
|
54.3
|
25
|
2.172
| ||||
Roddy White ATL
|
59.9
|
33
|
1.815
| ||||
Justin Hunter TEN
|
47.1
|
20
|
2.355
| ||||
Reggie Wayne IND
|
62.4
|
42
|
1.486
| ||||
James Jones OAK
|
60.3
|
39
|
1.546
| ||||
Larry Fitzgerald ARI
|
61.3
|
35
|
1.751
| ||||
Allen Robinson JAC
|
60.8
|
43
|
1.414
| ||||
John Brown ARI
|
56
|
27
|
2.074
| ||||
Keenan Allen SD
|
53.4
|
47
|
1.136
| ||||
Kendall Wright TEN
|
61.3
|
37
|
1.657
| ||||
Michael Floyd ARI
|
51.1
|
24
|
2.129
| ||||
Vincent Jackson TB
|
56.3
|
32
|
1.759
| ||||
Andrew Hawkins CLE
|
57.2
|
40
|
1.430
| ||||
Steve Johnson SF
|
53.6
|
28
|
1.914
| ||||
Calvin Johnson DET
|
46.8
|
22
|
2.127
| ||||
Greg Jennings MIN
|
57.9
|
35
|
1.654
| ||||
Michael Crabtree SF
|
54.6
|
38
|
1.437
| ||||
Taylor Gabriel CLE
|
50.1
|
27
|
1.856
| ||||
Kenny Britt STL
|
41.5
|
20
|
2.075
| ||||
Markus Wheaton PIT
|
53.4
|
35
|
1.526
| ||||
Cordarrelle Patterson MIN
|
53.8
|
33
|
1.630
| ||||
Devin Hester ATL
|
40.6
|
20
|
2.030
| ||||
Marques Colston NO
|
48.4
|
28
|
1.729
| ||||
Miles Austin CLE
|
50.7
|
31
|
1.635
| ||||
Rueben Randle NYG
|
49
|
38
|
1.289
| ||||
Jordan Matthews PHI
|
49.3
|
32
|
1.541
| ||||
Kenny Stills NO
|
43.3
|
24
|
1.804
| ||||
Doug Baldwin SEA
|
46.9
|
34
|
1.379
| ||||
Victor Cruz NYG
|
39.7
|
23
|
1.726
| ||||
Robert Woods BUF
|
39.4
|
28
|
1.407
| ||||
TE:
Player
|
MF Pts
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| ||||
Rob Gronkowski NE
|
114.3
|
49
|
2.333
| ||||
Antonio Gates SD
|
98.5
|
35
|
2.814
| ||||
Julius Thomas DEN
|
96
|
32
|
3.000
| ||||
Greg Olsen CAR
|
83.9
|
45
|
1.864
| ||||
Martellus Bennett CHI
|
81.7
|
47
|
1.738
| ||||
Jimmy Graham NO
|
79.8
|
46
|
1.735
| ||||
Delanie Walker TEN
|
71.5
|
35
|
2.043
| ||||
Dwayne Allen IND
|
79.4
|
26
|
3.054
| ||||
Larry Donnell NYG
|
59.7
|
37
|
1.614
| ||||
Travis Kelce KC
|
65.9
|
32
|
2.059
| ||||
Daniel Fells NYG
|
32.5
|
9
|
3.611
| ||||
Coby Fleener IND
|
53.5
|
22
|
2.432
| ||||
Jason Witten DAL
|
51.8
|
34
|
1.524
| ||||
Josh Hill NO
|
30.2
|
9
|
3.356
| ||||
Owen Daniels BAL
|
50.8
|
33
|
1.539
| ||||
Heath Miller PIT
|
50.1
|
35
|
1.431
| ||||
Jordan Cameron CLE
|
31
|
13
|
2.385
| ||||
Niles Paul WAS
|
46.9
|
30
|
1.563
| ||||
Zach Ertz PHI
|
45.8
|
25
|
1.832
| ||||
Lance Kendricks STL
|
37.5
|
17
|
2.206
| ||||
Timothy Wright NE
|
36
|
18
|
2.000
| ||||
Charles Clay MIA
|
39
|
27
|
1.444
| ||||
Jace Amaro NYJ
|
34.5
|
32
|
1.078
| ||||
Scott Chandler BUF
|
35
|
23
|
1.522
| ||||
Jared Cook STL
|
34.3
|
30
|
1.143
| ||||
Mychal Rivera OAK
|
32.2
|
28
|
1.150
| ||||
Clay Harbor JAC
|
30.4
|
22
|
1.382
|
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