Hello and welcome to Market Fantasy!
Below are my efficiency rankings through week 13. The idea is similar to my consistency rankings in how they are calculated, but looking at a different set of metrics. The consistency rankings are really more of a predictive tool than a rank, in that by showing a players average performance and standard deviation within those performances, we can get an idea of what to expect from a player in a given week.
The efficiency rankings below are based on two metrics: total number of touches and points per touch. Total number of touches is the number of times a player touches the football, either via reception or carry. Points per touch is the number of fantasy points a player scores each time they touch the ball (YTD fantasy points divided by total touches).
The idea in calculating where a player ranks is similar to how I get to my consistency ranks. In calculating the consistency ranks, more weight is given to players with higher average scores, since they are high performers, but also lowest standard deviation. A lower standard deviation gives us a smaller range of outcomes when predicting what their score will be. In calculating the below efficiency ranks, the most weight is given to the highest touches, along with the highest points per touch. The idea is to find the players who will touch the ball the most and score the most points each time they do so. A player like James Starks has a very high points per touch among running backs, but also a smaller workload, so a big game is blown out of proportion some.
One last note on the ranks: running backs will have a lower points per touch than wide receivers and tight ends due to both the higher number of touches and the nature of their touches. Whereas a receiver might average 15 yards (1.5 points) per reception, a good running back only averages 4.5 (.45 points) yards per carry (and a little more per reception).
So scroll through and let me know what you think. These ranks are a work in progress and I still haven’t decided if I like using touches or looks (targets instead of receptions plus carries) better. For now, I like touches since I am of the mind that a non-catch on a target isn’t always the receiver’s fault, whereas a catch almost always is caused by the receiver. I’ll keep thinking about it.
Thanks for reading!
RB:
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Charles, Jamaal RB KC
|
274
|
0.760
| ||||
2
|
Moreno, Knowshon RB DEN
|
244
|
0.785
| ||||
3
|
Lynch, Marshawn RB SEA
|
251
|
0.735
| ||||
4
|
Peterson, Adrian RB MIN
|
288
|
0.685
| ||||
5
|
McCoy, LeSean RB PHI
|
271
|
0.687
| ||||
6
|
Forte, Matt RB CHI
|
272
|
0.682
| ||||
7
|
Murray, DeMarco RB DAL
|
181
|
0.765
| ||||
8
|
Jackson, Fred RB BUF
|
189
|
0.744
| ||||
9
|
Bush, Reggie RB DET
|
225
|
0.685
| ||||
10
|
Bernard, Giovani RB CIN
|
162
|
0.787
| ||||
11
|
Woodhead, Danny RB SD
|
138
|
0.833
| ||||
12
|
Bell, Joique RB DET
|
140
|
0.824
| ||||
13
|
Morris, Alfred RB WAS
|
212
|
0.653
| ||||
14
|
Gore, Frank RB SF
|
218
|
0.631
| ||||
15
|
Ellington, Andre RB ARI
|
101
|
0.859
| ||||
16
|
Johnson, Chris RB TEN
|
238
|
0.606
| ||||
17
|
Sproles, Darren RB NO
|
96
|
0.888
| ||||
18
|
Brown, Donald RB IND
|
89
|
0.943
| ||||
19
|
Tolbert, Mike RB CAR
|
97
|
0.831
| ||||
20
|
Lacy, Eddie RB GB
|
231
|
0.581
| ||||
21
|
Jennings, Rashad RB OAK
|
154
|
0.697
| ||||
22
|
Thomas, Pierre RB NO
|
181
|
0.626
| ||||
23
|
Helu, Roy RB WAS
|
79
|
0.896
| ||||
24
|
Bell, Le'Veon RB PIT
|
192
|
0.597
| ||||
25
|
Ridley, Stevan RB NE
|
144
|
0.678
| ||||
26
|
Stacy, Zac RB STL
|
177
|
0.623
| ||||
27
|
Starks, James RB GB
|
65
|
0.854
| ||||
28
|
Mathews, Ryan RB SD
|
195
|
0.578
| ||||
29
|
Reece, Marcel RB OAK
|
45
|
1.024
| ||||
30
|
Young, Darrel RB WAS
|
12
|
2.858
| ||||
31
|
Jones-Drew, Maurice RB JAC
|
226
|
0.502
| ||||
32
|
Bolden, Brandon RB NE
|
73
|
0.796
| ||||
33
|
Gerhart, Toby RB MIN
|
34
|
1.006
| ||||
34
|
Snelling, Jason RB ATL
|
58
|
0.850
| ||||
35
|
Tate, Ben RB HOU
|
180
|
0.535
| ||||
36
|
Ogbonnaya, Chris RB CLE
|
76
|
0.739
| ||||
37
|
Jacobs, Brandon RB NYG
|
60
|
0.785
| ||||
38
|
Rice, Ray RB BAL
|
211
|
0.424
| ||||
39
|
Rainey, Bobby RB TB
|
95
|
0.655
| ||||
40
|
Rodgers, Jacquizz RB ATL
|
125
|
0.625
| ||||
41
|
Spiller, C.J. RB BUF
|
161
|
0.534
| ||||
42
|
Mendenhall, Rashard RB ARI
|
163
|
0.515
| ||||
43
|
Williams, DeAngelo RB CAR
|
170
|
0.512
| ||||
44
|
Vereen, Shane RB NE
|
63
|
0.725
| ||||
45
|
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus RB CIN
|
179
|
0.461
| ||||
46
|
Jackson, Steven RB ATL
|
118
|
0.599
| ||||
47
|
Cunningham, Benny RB STL
|
45
|
0.744
| ||||
48
|
Thomas, Daniel RB MIA
|
89
|
0.644
| ||||
49
|
Miller, Lamar RB MIA
|
158
|
0.506
| ||||
50
|
Brown, Andre RB NYG
|
94
|
0.626
| ||||
51
|
Powell, Bilal RB NYJ
|
158
|
0.496
| ||||
52
|
Richardson, Trent RB IND
|
160
|
0.431
| ||||
53
|
Ivory, Chris RB NYJ
|
130
|
0.533
| ||||
54
|
Ball, Montee RB DEN
|
97
|
0.580
| ||||
55
|
McFadden, Darren RB OAK
|
116
|
0.578
| ||||
56
|
Hunter, Kendall RB SF
|
63
|
0.652
| ||||
57
|
Blount, LeGarrette RB NE
|
94
|
0.594
| ||||
58
|
Hillman, Ronnie RB DEN
|
52
|
0.656
| ||||
59
|
Pierce, Bernard RB BAL
|
135
|
0.384
| ||||
60
|
McGahee, Willis RB CLE
|
131
|
0.354
| ||||
61
|
Ingram, Mark RB NO
|
61
|
0.579
| ||||
62
|
Richardson, Daryl RB STL
|
83
|
0.405
| ||||
63
|
Leonard, Brian RB TB
|
59
|
0.480
| ||||
WR:
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Johnson, Calvin WR DET
|
72
|
2.776
| ||||
2
|
Gordon, Josh WR CLE
|
67
|
2.539
| ||||
3
|
Thomas, Demaryius WR DEN
|
67
|
2.479
| ||||
4
|
Green, A.J. WR CIN
|
72
|
2.115
| ||||
5
|
Marshall, Brandon WR CHI
|
78
|
1.962
| ||||
6
|
Jackson, DeSean WR PHI
|
61
|
2.362
| ||||
7
|
Bryant, Dez WR DAL
|
69
|
2.054
| ||||
8
|
Nelson, Jordy WR GB
|
63
|
2.192
| ||||
9
|
Decker, Eric WR DEN
|
63
|
2.176
| ||||
10
|
Jeffery, Alshon WR CHI
|
84
|
1.814
| ||||
11
|
Jackson, Vincent WR TB
|
62
|
2.037
| ||||
12
|
Fitzgerald, Larry WR ARI
|
57
|
2.116
| ||||
13
|
Smith, Torrey WR BAL
|
54
|
2.207
| ||||
14
|
Johnson, Andre WR HOU
|
82
|
1.735
| ||||
15
|
Welker, Wes WR DEN
|
68
|
1.819
| ||||
16
|
Brown, Antonio WR PIT
|
91
|
1.611
| ||||
17
|
Cotchery, Jerricho WR PIT
|
37
|
2.659
| ||||
18
|
Jones, Marvin WR CIN
|
37
|
2.541
| ||||
19
|
Floyd, Michael WR ARI
|
54
|
2.037
| ||||
20
|
Hilton, T.Y. WR IND
|
58
|
1.891
| ||||
21
|
Baldwin, Doug WR SEA
|
41
|
2.210
| ||||
22
|
Cooper, Riley WR PHI
|
34
|
3.171
| ||||
23
|
Cruz, Victor WR NYG
|
66
|
1.744
| ||||
24
|
Boldin, Anquan WR SF
|
61
|
1.839
| ||||
25
|
Moore, Denarius WR OAK
|
37
|
2.349
| ||||
26
|
Royal, Eddie WR SD
|
35
|
2.537
| ||||
27
|
Tate, Golden WR SEA
|
48
|
1.904
| ||||
28
|
Randle, Rueben WR NYG
|
35
|
2.526
| ||||
29
|
Williams, Terrance WR DAL
|
36
|
2.208
| ||||
30
|
Garcon, Pierre WR WAS
|
86
|
1.348
| ||||
31
|
Stills, Kenny WR NO
|
24
|
2.988
| ||||
32
|
LaFell, Brandon WR CAR
|
44
|
1.909
| ||||
33
|
Allen, Keenan WR SD
|
58
|
1.729
| ||||
34
|
Wright, Kendall WR TEN
|
71
|
1.352
| ||||
35
|
Ginn, Ted WR CAR
|
31
|
2.313
| ||||
36
|
Edelman, Julian WR NE
|
72
|
1.336
| ||||
37
|
Douglas, Harry WR ATL
|
66
|
1.494
| ||||
38
|
Hartline, Brian WR MIA
|
62
|
1.587
| ||||
39
|
Thompkins, Kenbrell WR NE
|
32
|
2.206
| ||||
40
|
Wallace, Mike WR MIA
|
58
|
1.626
| ||||
41
|
Washington, Nate WR TEN
|
41
|
1.871
| ||||
42
|
Dobson, Aaron WR NE
|
35
|
2.091
| ||||
43
|
Jones, James WR GB
|
37
|
1.957
| ||||
44
|
Shorts, Cecil WR JAC
|
64
|
1.381
| ||||
45
|
Streater, Rod WR OAK
|
45
|
1.720
| ||||
46
|
Austin, Tavon WR STL
|
47
|
1.668
| ||||
47
|
Hopkins, DeAndre WR HOU
|
41
|
1.783
| ||||
48
|
Sanders, Emmanuel WR PIT
|
55
|
1.580
| ||||
49
|
Bowe, Dwayne WR KC
|
45
|
1.718
| ||||
50
|
Brown, Marlon WR BAL
|
30
|
2.060
| ||||
51
|
Smith, Steve WR CAR
|
54
|
1.504
| ||||
52
|
Jennings, Greg WR MIN
|
43
|
1.621
| ||||
53
|
Avery, Donnie WR KC
|
36
|
1.750
| ||||
54
|
Colston, Marques WR NO
|
47
|
1.523
| ||||
55
|
Boykin, Jarrett WR GB
|
34
|
1.862
| ||||
56
|
Johnson, Steve WR BUF
|
47
|
1.481
| ||||
57
|
Pettis, Austin WR STL
|
29
|
1.890
| ||||
58
|
Hankerson, Leonard WR WAS
|
30
|
1.850
| ||||
59
|
Simpson, Jerome WR MIN
|
39
|
1.595
| ||||
60
|
Nicks, Hakeem WR NYG
|
44
|
1.486
| ||||
61
|
Durham, Kris WR DET
|
35
|
1.631
| ||||
62
|
Woods, Robert WR BUF
|
30
|
1.747
| ||||
TE:
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Graham, Jimmy TE NO
|
68
|
2.512
| ||||
2
|
Davis, Vernon TE SF
|
42
|
3.060
| ||||
3
|
Thomas, Julius TE DEN
|
45
|
2.644
| ||||
4
|
Olsen, Greg TE CAR
|
50
|
1.822
| ||||
5
|
Witten, Jason TE DAL
|
54
|
1.819
| ||||
6
|
Cameron, Jordan TE CLE
|
63
|
1.689
| ||||
7
|
Bennett, Martellus TE CHI
|
48
|
1.760
| ||||
8
|
Gronkowski, Rob TE NE
|
37
|
2.162
| ||||
9
|
Fleener, Coby TE IND
|
44
|
1.782
| ||||
10
|
Cook, Jared TE STL
|
40
|
1.943
| ||||
11
|
Gonzalez, Tony TE ATL
|
62
|
1.537
| ||||
12
|
Walker, Delanie TE TEN
|
45
|
1.676
| ||||
13
|
Clay, Charles TE MIA
|
59
|
1.519
| ||||
14
|
Graham, Garrett TE HOU
|
41
|
1.688
| ||||
15
|
Gates, Antonio TE SD
|
64
|
1.353
| ||||
16
|
Miller, Zach TE SEA
|
27
|
2.126
| ||||
17
|
Celek, Brent TE PHI
|
23
|
2.430
| ||||
18
|
Reed, Jordan TE WAS
|
46
|
1.515
| ||||
19
|
Myers, Brandon TE NYG
|
34
|
1.697
| ||||
20
|
Fauria, Joseph TE DET
|
11
|
4.455
| ||||
21
|
Ertz, Zach TE PHI
|
26
|
2.008
| ||||
22
|
Green, Ladarius TE SD
|
16
|
2.963
| ||||
23
|
Cumberland, Jeff TE NYJ
|
20
|
2.340
| ||||
24
|
Clark, Dallas TE BAL
|
31
|
1.687
| ||||
25
|
Chandler, Scott TE BUF
|
41
|
1.441
| ||||
26
|
Watson, Benjamin TE NO
|
13
|
2.162
| ||||
27
|
Miller, Heath TE PIT
|
46
|
1.104
| ||||
28
|
Rudolph, Kyle TE MIN
|
30
|
1.643
| ||||
29
|
Wright, Timothy TE TB
|
36
|
1.397
| ||||
30
|
Harbor, Clay TE JAC
|
19
|
1.732
| ||||
31
|
Pettigrew, Brandon TE DET
|
38
|
1.237
| ||||
32
|
Rivera, Mychal TE OAK
|
26
|
1.577
| ||||
33
|
Eifert, Tyler TE CIN
|
32
|
1.394
| ||||
34
|
Gresham, Jermaine TE CIN
|
35
|
1.280
| ||||
35
|
Winslow, Kellen TE NYJ
|
23
|
1.591
| ||||
36
|
Fasano, Anthony TE KC
|
22
|
1.641
| ||||
37
|
Kendricks, Lance TE STL
|
23
|
1.530
| ||||
38
|
Housler, Rob TE ARI
|
31
|
1.271
| ||||
39
|
Carlson, John TE MIN
|
30
|
1.217
| ||||
40
|
McGrath, Sean TE KC
|
21
|
1.510
|
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