Hello and welcome to Market Fantasy!
Below are my efficiency rankings through week 13. The idea is similar to my consistency rankings in how they are calculated, but looking at a different set of metrics. The consistency rankings are really more of a predictive tool than a rank, in that by showing a players average performance and standard deviation within those performances, we can get an idea of what to expect from a player in a given week.
The efficiency rankings below are based on two metrics: total number of touches and points per touch. Total number of touches is the number of times a player touches the football, either via reception or carry. Points per touch is the number of fantasy points a player scores each time they touch the ball (YTD fantasy points divided by total touches).
The idea in calculating where a player ranks is similar to how I get to my consistency ranks. In calculating the consistency ranks, more weight is given to players with higher average scores, since they are high performers, but also lowest standard deviation. A lower standard deviation gives us a smaller range of outcomes when predicting what their score will be. In calculating the below efficiency ranks, the most weight is given to the highest touches, along with the highest points per touch. The idea is to find the players who will touch the ball the most and score the most points each time they do so. A player like James Starks has a very high points per touch among running backs, but also a smaller workload, so a big game is blown out of proportion some.
One last note on the ranks: running backs will have a lower points per touch than wide receivers and tight ends due to both the higher number of touches and the nature of their touches. Whereas a receiver might average 15 yards (1.5 points) per reception, a good running back only averages 4.5 (.45 points) yards per carry (and a little more per reception).
So scroll through and let me know what you think. These ranks are a work in progress and I still haven’t decided if I like using touches or looks (targets instead of receptions plus carries) better. For now, I like touches since I am of the mind that a non-catch on a target isn’t always the receiver’s fault, whereas a catch almost always is caused by the receiver. I’ll keep thinking about it.
Thanks for reading!
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Charles, Jamaal RB KC
|
295
|
0.801
| ||||
2
|
Moreno, Knowshon RB DEN
|
264
|
0.790
| ||||
3
|
McCoy, LeSean RB PHI
|
301
|
0.732
| ||||
4
|
Forte, Matt RB CHI
|
299
|
0.699
| ||||
5
|
Lynch, Marshawn RB SEA
|
271
|
0.729
| ||||
6
|
Peterson, Adrian RB MIN
|
296
|
0.672
| ||||
7
|
Murray, DeMarco RB DAL
|
201
|
0.766
| ||||
8
|
Bernard, Giovani RB CIN
|
178
|
0.799
| ||||
9
|
Woodhead, Danny RB SD
|
149
|
0.875
| ||||
10
|
Jackson, Fred RB BUF
|
198
|
0.729
| ||||
11
|
Bush, Reggie RB DET
|
225
|
0.685
| ||||
12
|
Bell, Joique RB DET
|
167
|
0.778
| ||||
13
|
Gore, Frank RB SF
|
235
|
0.632
| ||||
14
|
Johnson, Chris RB TEN
|
252
|
0.610
| ||||
15
|
Ellington, Andre RB ARI
|
114
|
0.869
| ||||
16
|
Sproles, Darren RB NO
|
100
|
0.913
| ||||
17
|
Morris, Alfred RB WAS
|
224
|
0.632
| ||||
18
|
Lacy, Eddie RB GB
|
254
|
0.588
| ||||
19
|
Brown, Donald RB IND
|
97
|
0.895
| ||||
20
|
Helu, Roy RB WAS
|
81
|
0.883
| ||||
21
|
Reece, Marcel RB OAK
|
66
|
1.033
| ||||
22
|
Tolbert, Mike RB CAR
|
102
|
0.819
| ||||
23
|
Vereen, Shane RB NE
|
78
|
0.871
| ||||
24
|
Jennings, Rashad RB OAK
|
154
|
0.697
| ||||
25
|
Mathews, Ryan RB SD
|
227
|
0.582
| ||||
26
|
Stacy, Zac RB STL
|
194
|
0.610
| ||||
27
|
Bell, Le'Veon RB PIT
|
212
|
0.583
| ||||
28
|
Thomas, Pierre RB NO
|
192
|
0.605
| ||||
29
|
Ridley, Stevan RB NE
|
153
|
0.662
| ||||
30
|
Jones-Drew, Maurice RB JAC
|
242
|
0.520
| ||||
31
|
Gerhart, Toby RB MIN
|
49
|
0.961
| ||||
32
|
Bolden, Brandon RB NE
|
73
|
0.796
| ||||
33
|
Starks, James RB GB
|
72
|
0.797
| ||||
34
|
Snelling, Jason RB ATL
|
60
|
0.822
| ||||
35
|
Rainey, Bobby RB TB
|
120
|
0.671
| ||||
36
|
Thomas, Daniel RB MIA
|
106
|
0.700
| ||||
37
|
Rice, Ray RB BAL
|
233
|
0.431
| ||||
38
|
Tate, Ben RB HOU
|
196
|
0.520
| ||||
39
|
Ogbonnaya, Chris RB CLE
|
83
|
0.717
| ||||
40
|
Jacobs, Brandon RB NYG
|
60
|
0.785
| ||||
41
|
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus RB CIN
|
196
|
0.507
| ||||
42
|
Rodgers, Jacquizz RB ATL
|
135
|
0.613
| ||||
43
|
Mendenhall, Rashard RB ARI
|
180
|
0.522
| ||||
44
|
Spiller, C.J. RB BUF
|
173
|
0.525
| ||||
45
|
Ball, Montee RB DEN
|
115
|
0.617
| ||||
46
|
Williams, DeAngelo RB CAR
|
184
|
0.507
| ||||
47
|
Greene, Shonn RB TEN
|
54
|
0.757
| ||||
48
|
Ivory, Chris RB NYJ
|
148
|
0.560
| ||||
49
|
Cunningham, Benny RB STL
|
49
|
0.735
| ||||
50
|
Blount, LeGarrette RB NE
|
103
|
0.614
| ||||
51
|
Jackson, Steven RB ATL
|
134
|
0.587
| ||||
52
|
Todman, Jordan RB JAC
|
51
|
0.731
| ||||
53
|
Richardson, Trent RB IND
|
171
|
0.454
| ||||
54
|
Hunter, Kendall RB SF
|
67
|
0.637
| ||||
55
|
Miller, Lamar RB MIA
|
166
|
0.502
| ||||
56
|
Powell, Bilal RB NYJ
|
167
|
0.492
| ||||
57
|
Brown, Andre RB NYG
|
113
|
0.588
| ||||
58
|
McFadden, Darren RB OAK
|
116
|
0.578
| ||||
59
|
Bush, Michael RB CHI
|
55
|
0.636
| ||||
60
|
McGahee, Willis RB CLE
|
146
|
0.340
| ||||
61
|
Pierce, Bernard RB BAL
|
143
|
0.374
| ||||
62
|
Ingram, Mark RB NO
|
64
|
0.558
| ||||
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Johnson, Calvin WR DET
|
75
|
2.731
| ||||
2
|
Gordon, Josh WR CLE
|
75
|
2.595
| ||||
3
|
Thomas, Demaryius WR DEN
|
74
|
2.445
| ||||
4
|
Green, A.J. WR CIN
|
78
|
2.122
| ||||
5
|
Marshall, Brandon WR CHI
|
84
|
1.940
| ||||
6
|
Decker, Eric WR DEN
|
71
|
2.180
| ||||
7
|
Jackson, DeSean WR PHI
|
66
|
2.348
| ||||
8
|
Nelson, Jordy WR GB
|
67
|
2.188
| ||||
9
|
Jeffery, Alshon WR CHI
|
90
|
1.846
| ||||
10
|
Bryant, Dez WR DAL
|
71
|
2.097
| ||||
11
|
Jackson, Vincent WR TB
|
65
|
2.143
| ||||
12
|
Fitzgerald, Larry WR ARI
|
69
|
1.974
| ||||
13
|
Welker, Wes WR DEN
|
73
|
1.860
| ||||
14
|
Brown, Antonio WR PIT
|
96
|
1.732
| ||||
15
|
Smith, Torrey WR BAL
|
55
|
2.187
| ||||
16
|
Cotchery, Jerricho WR PIT
|
42
|
2.633
| ||||
17
|
Johnson, Andre WR HOU
|
95
|
1.660
| ||||
18
|
Allen, Keenan WR SD
|
61
|
1.938
| ||||
19
|
Jones, Marvin WR CIN
|
41
|
2.578
| ||||
20
|
Floyd, Michael WR ARI
|
56
|
2.011
| ||||
21
|
Cooper, Riley WR PHI
|
37
|
3.114
| ||||
22
|
Boldin, Anquan WR SF
|
67
|
1.813
| ||||
23
|
Royal, Eddie WR SD
|
38
|
2.371
| ||||
24
|
Hunter, Justin WR TEN
|
18
|
3.300
| ||||
25
|
Cruz, Victor WR NYG
|
71
|
1.680
| ||||
26
|
Hilton, T.Y. WR IND
|
60
|
1.840
| ||||
27
|
Baldwin, Doug WR SEA
|
44
|
2.141
| ||||
28
|
Stills, Kenny WR NO
|
26
|
2.842
| ||||
29
|
Randle, Rueben WR NYG
|
37
|
2.462
| ||||
30
|
Garcon, Pierre WR WAS
|
91
|
1.314
| ||||
31
|
Moore, Denarius WR OAK
|
37
|
2.349
| ||||
32
|
Edelman, Julian WR NE
|
78
|
1.392
| ||||
33
|
Streater, Rod WR OAK
|
52
|
1.854
| ||||
34
|
Williams, Terrance WR DAL
|
38
|
2.187
| ||||
35
|
LaFell, Brandon WR CAR
|
46
|
1.874
| ||||
36
|
Hartline, Brian WR MIA
|
67
|
1.634
| ||||
37
|
Bowe, Dwayne WR KC
|
49
|
1.841
| ||||
38
|
Tate, Golden WR SEA
|
54
|
1.813
| ||||
39
|
Wright, Kendall WR TEN
|
73
|
1.338
| ||||
40
|
Thompkins, Kenbrell WR NE
|
32
|
2.206
| ||||
41
|
Douglas, Harry WR ATL
|
68
|
1.479
| ||||
42
|
Ginn, Ted WR CAR
|
33
|
2.188
| ||||
43
|
Colston, Marques WR NO
|
56
|
1.716
| ||||
44
|
Sanders, Emmanuel WR PIT
|
59
|
1.671
| ||||
45
|
Hopkins, DeAndre WR HOU
|
44
|
1.834
| ||||
46
|
Wallace, Mike WR MIA
|
60
|
1.603
| ||||
47
|
Austin, Tavon WR STL
|
49
|
1.733
| ||||
48
|
Washington, Nate WR TEN
|
43
|
1.840
| ||||
49
|
Brown, Marlon WR BAL
|
37
|
2.081
| ||||
50
|
Shorts, Cecil WR JAC
|
66
|
1.450
| ||||
51
|
Dobson, Aaron WR NE
|
35
|
2.091
| ||||
52
|
Smith, Steve WR CAR
|
60
|
1.535
| ||||
53
|
Jones, James WR GB
|
41
|
1.812
| ||||
54
|
Nicks, Hakeem WR NYG
|
49
|
1.610
| ||||
55
|
Simpson, Jerome WR MIN
|
43
|
1.698
| ||||
56
|
Johnson, Steve WR BUF
|
52
|
1.467
| ||||
57
|
Jennings, Greg WR MIN
|
48
|
1.563
| ||||
58
|
Boykin, Jarrett WR GB
|
36
|
1.822
| ||||
59
|
Avery, Donnie WR KC
|
37
|
1.722
| ||||
60
|
Patterson, Cordarrelle WR MIN
|
40
|
1.525
| ||||
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Graham, Jimmy TE NO
|
74
|
2.549
| ||||
2
|
Thomas, Julius TE DEN
|
50
|
2.570
| ||||
3
|
Cameron, Jordan TE CLE
|
72
|
1.729
| ||||
4
|
Davis, Vernon TE SF
|
44
|
3.105
| ||||
5
|
Witten, Jason TE DAL
|
55
|
1.913
| ||||
6
|
Clay, Charles TE MIA
|
66
|
1.686
| ||||
7
|
Bennett, Martellus TE CHI
|
53
|
1.675
| ||||
8
|
Gonzalez, Tony TE ATL
|
65
|
1.597
| ||||
9
|
Cook, Jared TE STL
|
43
|
1.921
| ||||
10
|
Olsen, Greg TE CAR
|
58
|
1.640
| ||||
11
|
Gronkowski, Rob TE NE
|
39
|
2.133
| ||||
12
|
Graham, Garrett TE HOU
|
49
|
1.684
| ||||
13
|
Gates, Antonio TE SD
|
68
|
1.347
| ||||
14
|
Fleener, Coby TE IND
|
49
|
1.663
| ||||
15
|
Walker, Delanie TE TEN
|
45
|
1.676
| ||||
16
|
Fauria, Joseph TE DET
|
11
|
4.455
| ||||
17
|
Myers, Brandon TE NYG
|
38
|
1.745
| ||||
18
|
Green, Ladarius TE SD
|
16
|
2.963
| ||||
19
|
Celek, Brent TE PHI
|
25
|
2.352
| ||||
20
|
Miller, Zach TE SEA
|
28
|
2.096
| ||||
21
|
Cumberland, Jeff TE NYJ
|
20
|
2.340
| ||||
22
|
Reed, Jordan TE WAS
|
46
|
1.515
| ||||
23
|
Ertz, Zach TE PHI
|
26
|
2.008
| ||||
24
|
Clark, Dallas TE BAL
|
31
|
1.687
| ||||
25
|
Chandler, Scott TE BUF
|
43
|
1.430
| ||||
26
|
Miller, Heath TE PIT
|
49
|
1.151
| ||||
27
|
Gresham, Jermaine TE CIN
|
40
|
1.373
| ||||
28
|
Wright, Timothy TE TB
|
38
|
1.537
| ||||
29
|
Rudolph, Kyle TE MIN
|
30
|
1.643
| ||||
30
|
Rivera, Mychal TE OAK
|
31
|
1.584
| ||||
31
|
Pettigrew, Brandon TE DET
|
39
|
1.264
| ||||
32
|
Eifert, Tyler TE CIN
|
35
|
1.331
| ||||
33
|
Housler, Rob TE ARI
|
34
|
1.282
| ||||
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