Hello and welcome to Market Fantasy!
Below are my efficiency rankings through week 16. The idea is similar to my consistency rankings in how they are calculated, but looking at a different set of metrics. The consistency rankings are really more of a predictive tool than a rank, in that by showing a players average performance and standard deviation within those performances, we can get an idea of what to expect from a player in a given week.
The efficiency rankings below are based on two metrics: total number of touches and points per touch. Total number of touches is the number of times a player touches the football, either via reception or carry. Points per touch is the number of fantasy points a player scores each time they touch the ball (YTD fantasy points divided by total touches).
The idea in calculating where a player ranks is similar to how I get to my consistency ranks. In calculating the consistency ranks, more weight is given to players with higher average scores, since they are high performers, but also lowest standard deviation. A lower standard deviation gives us a smaller range of outcomes when predicting what their score will be. In calculating the below efficiency ranks, the most weight is given to the highest touches, along with the highest points per touch. The idea is to find the players who will touch the ball the most and score the most points each time they do so. A player like James Starks has a very high points per touch among running backs, but also a smaller workload, so a big game is blown out of proportion some.
One last note on the ranks: running backs will have a lower points per touch than wide receivers and tight ends due to both the higher number of touches and the nature of their touches. Whereas a receiver might average 15 yards (1.5 points) per reception, a good running back only averages 4.5 (.45 points) yards per carry (and a little more per reception).
Thanks for reading!
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Charles, Jamaal RB KC
|
329
|
0.937
| ||||
2
|
McCoy, LeSean RB PHI
|
338
|
0.767
| ||||
3
|
Moreno, Knowshon RB DEN
|
290
|
0.773
| ||||
4
|
Lynch, Marshawn RB SEA
|
313
|
0.713
| ||||
5
|
Forte, Matt RB CHI
|
337
|
0.675
| ||||
6
|
Murray, DeMarco RB DAL
|
248
|
0.800
| ||||
7
|
Peterson, Adrian RB MIN
|
308
|
0.661
| ||||
8
|
Lacy, Eddie RB GB
|
296
|
0.653
| ||||
9
|
Jackson, Fred RB BUF
|
237
|
0.722
| ||||
10
|
Bush, Reggie RB DET
|
258
|
0.669
| ||||
11
|
Bernard, Giovani RB CIN
|
208
|
0.767
| ||||
12
|
Gore, Frank RB SF
|
279
|
0.622
| ||||
13
|
Woodhead, Danny RB SD
|
170
|
0.832
| ||||
14
|
Johnson, Chris RB TEN
|
291
|
0.612
| ||||
15
|
Bell, Joique RB DET
|
207
|
0.754
| ||||
16
|
Ellington, Andre RB ARI
|
145
|
0.842
| ||||
17
|
Morris, Alfred RB WAS
|
267
|
0.610
| ||||
18
|
Jennings, Rashad RB OAK
|
193
|
0.709
| ||||
19
|
Brown, Donald RB IND
|
114
|
0.996
| ||||
20
|
Sproles, Darren RB NO
|
119
|
0.836
| ||||
21
|
Mathews, Ryan RB SD
|
285
|
0.593
| ||||
22
|
Bell, Le'Veon RB PIT
|
268
|
0.583
| ||||
23
|
Vereen, Shane RB NE
|
86
|
0.895
| ||||
24
|
Reece, Marcel RB OAK
|
77
|
1.010
| ||||
25
|
Stacy, Zac RB STL
|
257
|
0.598
| ||||
26
|
Starks, James RB GB
|
87
|
0.836
| ||||
27
|
Tolbert, Mike RB CAR
|
118
|
0.785
| ||||
28
|
Helu, Roy RB WAS
|
88
|
0.826
| ||||
29
|
Ridley, Stevan RB NE
|
176
|
0.626
| ||||
30
|
Williams, DeAngelo RB CAR
|
215
|
0.599
| ||||
31
|
Jones-Drew, Maurice RB JAC
|
259
|
0.512
| ||||
32
|
Thomas, Pierre RB NO
|
216
|
0.583
| ||||
33
|
Mendenhall, Rashard RB ARI
|
223
|
0.539
| ||||
34
|
Blount, LeGarrette RB NE
|
131
|
0.673
| ||||
35
|
Thomas, Daniel RB MIA
|
122
|
0.680
| ||||
36
|
Jackson, Steven RB ATL
|
171
|
0.619
| ||||
37
|
Bolden, Brandon RB NE
|
76
|
0.793
| ||||
38
|
Rice, Ray RB BAL
|
259
|
0.437
| ||||
39
|
Tate, Ben RB HOU
|
215
|
0.517
| ||||
40
|
Ogbonnaya, Chris RB CLE
|
95
|
0.687
| ||||
41
|
Snelling, Jason RB ATL
|
66
|
0.771
| ||||
42
|
Ball, Montee RB DEN
|
127
|
0.622
| ||||
43
|
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus RB CIN
|
213
|
0.513
| ||||
44
|
Greene, Shonn RB TEN
|
77
|
0.732
| ||||
45
|
Spiller, C.J. RB BUF
|
210
|
0.514
| ||||
46
|
Rodgers, Jacquizz RB ATL
|
149
|
0.600
| ||||
47
|
Rainey, Bobby RB TB
|
153
|
0.599
| ||||
48
|
Ivory, Chris RB NYJ
|
179
|
0.561
| ||||
49
|
McFadden, Darren RB OAK
|
121
|
0.617
| ||||
50
|
Richardson, Trent RB IND
|
213
|
0.468
| ||||
51
|
Powell, Bilal RB NYJ
|
190
|
0.504
| ||||
52
|
Hunter, Kendall RB SF
|
78
|
0.664
| ||||
53
|
Miller, Lamar RB MIA
|
185
|
0.488
| ||||
54
|
Todman, Jordan RB JAC
|
87
|
0.617
| ||||
55
|
Ingram, Mark RB NO
|
81
|
0.606
| ||||
56
|
Pierce, Bernard RB BAL
|
163
|
0.377
| ||||
57
|
Brown, Andre RB NYG
|
146
|
0.496
| ||||
58
|
McGahee, Willis RB CLE
|
146
|
0.340
| ||||
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Gordon, Josh WR CLE
|
85
|
2.579
| ||||
2
|
Johnson, Calvin WR DET
|
84
|
2.610
| ||||
3
|
Thomas, Demaryius WR DEN
|
86
|
2.369
| ||||
4
|
Jackson, DeSean WR PHI
|
82
|
2.251
| ||||
5
|
Decker, Eric WR DEN
|
83
|
2.218
| ||||
6
|
Bryant, Dez WR DAL
|
86
|
2.134
| ||||
7
|
Green, A.J. WR CIN
|
94
|
2.090
| ||||
8
|
Marshall, Brandon WR CHI
|
94
|
2.001
| ||||
9
|
Nelson, Jordy WR GB
|
75
|
2.177
| ||||
10
|
Jeffery, Alshon WR CHI
|
102
|
1.829
| ||||
11
|
Jackson, Vincent WR TB
|
75
|
2.145
| ||||
12
|
Brown, Antonio WR PIT
|
108
|
1.756
| ||||
13
|
Smith, Torrey WR BAL
|
62
|
2.163
| ||||
14
|
Fitzgerald, Larry WR ARI
|
78
|
1.832
| ||||
15
|
Jones, Marvin WR CIN
|
54
|
2.326
| ||||
16
|
Allen, Keenan WR SD
|
66
|
2.117
| ||||
17
|
Welker, Wes WR DEN
|
73
|
1.860
| ||||
18
|
Floyd, Michael WR ARI
|
59
|
2.119
| ||||
19
|
Boldin, Anquan WR SF
|
77
|
1.805
| ||||
20
|
Cooper, Riley WR PHI
|
44
|
2.941
| ||||
21
|
Johnson, Andre WR HOU
|
103
|
1.610
| ||||
22
|
Cotchery, Jerricho WR PIT
|
44
|
2.527
| ||||
23
|
Garcon, Pierre WR WAS
|
109
|
1.458
| ||||
24
|
Royal, Eddie WR SD
|
45
|
2.224
| ||||
25
|
Washington, Nate WR TEN
|
56
|
1.893
| ||||
26
|
Randle, Rueben WR NYG
|
41
|
2.320
| ||||
27
|
Moore, Denarius WR OAK
|
42
|
2.219
| ||||
28
|
Hunter, Justin WR TEN
|
18
|
3.300
| ||||
29
|
Hilton, T.Y. WR IND
|
73
|
1.690
| ||||
30
|
Baldwin, Doug WR SEA
|
52
|
2.085
| ||||
31
|
Colston, Marques WR NO
|
69
|
1.704
| ||||
32
|
Edelman, Julian WR NE
|
98
|
1.390
| ||||
33
|
Tate, Golden WR SEA
|
58
|
1.790
| ||||
34
|
Stills, Kenny WR NO
|
34
|
2.397
| ||||
35
|
Cruz, Victor WR NYG
|
73
|
1.668
| ||||
36
|
Streater, Rod WR OAK
|
57
|
1.798
| ||||
37
|
Hartline, Brian WR MIA
|
74
|
1.646
| ||||
38
|
Williams, Terrance WR DAL
|
46
|
2.089
| ||||
39
|
Wright, Jarius WR MIN
|
24
|
2.429
| ||||
40
|
LaFell, Brandon WR CAR
|
51
|
1.847
| ||||
41
|
Wallace, Mike WR MIA
|
71
|
1.659
| ||||
42
|
Wright, Kendall WR TEN
|
89
|
1.291
| ||||
43
|
Sanders, Emmanuel WR PIT
|
66
|
1.665
| ||||
44
|
Bowe, Dwayne WR KC
|
57
|
1.707
| ||||
45
|
Brown, Marlon WR BAL
|
45
|
1.893
| ||||
46
|
Ginn, Ted WR CAR
|
38
|
2.155
| ||||
47
|
Douglas, Harry WR ATL
|
78
|
1.396
| ||||
48
|
Thompkins, Kenbrell WR NE
|
32
|
2.206
| ||||
49
|
Boykin, Jarrett WR GB
|
47
|
1.815
| ||||
50
|
Jones, James WR GB
|
53
|
1.766
| ||||
51
|
Hopkins, DeAndre WR HOU
|
48
|
1.806
| ||||
52
|
Jennings, Greg WR MIN
|
63
|
1.587
| ||||
53
|
Dobson, Aaron WR NE
|
36
|
2.092
| ||||
54
|
Smith, Steve WR CAR
|
64
|
1.539
| ||||
55
|
Austin, Tavon WR STL
|
49
|
1.733
| ||||
56
|
Shorts, Cecil WR JAC
|
66
|
1.450
| ||||
57
|
Woods, Robert WR BUF
|
41
|
1.844
| ||||
58
|
Nicks, Hakeem WR NYG
|
54
|
1.567
| ||||
59
|
Patterson, Cordarrelle WR MIN
|
53
|
1.589
| ||||
60
|
Simpson, Jerome WR MIN
|
45
|
1.682
| ||||
61
|
Avery, Donnie WR KC
|
42
|
1.671
| ||||
62
|
White, Roddy WR ATL
|
55
|
1.309
| ||||
63
|
Johnson, Steve WR BUF
|
53
|
1.447
| ||||
64
|
Pettis, Austin WR STL
|
36
|
1.733
| ||||
65
|
Amendola, Danny WR NE
|
54
|
1.380
| ||||
66
|
Cobb, Randall WR GB
|
33
|
1.745
| ||||
67
|
Kerley, Jeremy WR NYJ
|
41
|
1.641
| ||||
68
|
Durham, Kris WR DET
|
38
|
1.553
| ||||
69
|
Little, Greg WR CLE
|
40
|
1.440
| ||||
Player
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| |||||
1
|
Graham, Jimmy TE NO
|
81
|
2.523
| ||||
2
|
Thomas, Julius TE DEN
|
60
|
2.453
| ||||
3
|
Cameron, Jordan TE CLE
|
75
|
1.691
| ||||
4
|
Davis, Vernon TE SF
|
49
|
3.071
| ||||
5
|
Witten, Jason TE DAL
|
61
|
1.961
| ||||
6
|
Gonzalez, Tony TE ATL
|
79
|
1.624
| ||||
7
|
Clay, Charles TE MIA
|
71
|
1.621
| ||||
8
|
Olsen, Greg TE CAR
|
67
|
1.603
| ||||
9
|
Bennett, Martellus TE CHI
|
64
|
1.600
| ||||
10
|
Cook, Jared TE STL
|
46
|
1.872
| ||||
11
|
Graham, Garrett TE HOU
|
49
|
1.684
| ||||
12
|
Fauria, Joseph TE DET
|
15
|
4.047
| ||||
13
|
Fleener, Coby TE IND
|
51
|
1.614
| ||||
14
|
Celek, Brent TE PHI
|
29
|
2.452
| ||||
15
|
Gates, Antonio TE SD
|
73
|
1.344
| ||||
16
|
Walker, Delanie TE TEN
|
57
|
1.582
| ||||
17
|
Ertz, Zach TE PHI
|
33
|
2.018
| ||||
18
|
Green, Ladarius TE SD
|
16
|
2.963
| ||||
19
|
Rivera, Mychal TE OAK
|
36
|
1.733
| ||||
20
|
Miller, Zach TE SEA
|
30
|
2.220
| ||||
21
|
Cumberland, Jeff TE NYJ
|
25
|
2.432
| ||||
22
|
Myers, Brandon TE NYG
|
45
|
1.673
| ||||
23
|
Lewis, Marcedes TE JAC
|
22
|
2.314
| ||||
24
|
Clark, Dallas TE BAL
|
31
|
1.687
| ||||
25
|
Wright, Timothy TE TB
|
49
|
1.537
| ||||
26
|
Chandler, Scott TE BUF
|
50
|
1.400
| ||||
27
|
Miller, Heath TE PIT
|
56
|
1.100
| ||||
28
|
Reed, Jordan TE WAS
|
46
|
1.515
| ||||
29
|
Rudolph, Kyle TE MIN
|
30
|
1.643
| ||||
30
|
Gresham, Jermaine TE CIN
|
46
|
1.393
| ||||
31
|
Eifert, Tyler TE CIN
|
39
|
1.449
| ||||
32
|
Pettigrew, Brandon TE DET
|
41
|
1.259
|
No comments:
Post a Comment