Thursday, January 2, 2014

Market Fantasy #66 - End of Year Consistency Ratings

Hello and Welcome to Market Fantasy!

Below you will find the updated consistency rankings through the end of the NFL season. The ranks are based on a combination of player weekly scoring average and the standard deviation of the scores. They’re not meant to be regular season ranks, but more of a predictive tool. The aim is to identify players who score the most points week to week on the most consistent basis. A full description of how the ranks are calculated can be found here. As always, the players are listed with the relevant information so you can do your own research and work with the info how you like.



QB
Player
Avg
Stdev
1
Ryan, Matt QB ATL
20.3
6.924
2
Rivers, Philip QB SD
23.4
9.189
3
Wilson, Russell QB SEA
20.7
7.749
4
Flacco, Joe QB BAL
15.9
6.523
5
Luck, Andrew QB IND
21.7
8.938
6
Newton, Cam QB CAR
21.8
9.058
7
Stafford, Matthew QB DET
22.4
9.119
8
Tannehill, Ryan QB MIA
18.8
7.331
9
Glennon, Mike QB TB
15.2
6.672
10
Cutler, Jay QB CHI
19.3
8.096
11
Roethlisberger, Ben QB PIT
21
9.824
12
Henne, Chad QB JAC
13.1
5.976
13
Romo, Tony QB DAL
22.6
10.732
14
Manuel, EJ QB BUF
15.5
7.635
15
Palmer, Carson QB ARI
17.9
8.744
16
Brees, Drew QB NO
29.5
12.204
17
Smith, Alex QB KC
20
10.007
18
Dalton, Andy QB CIN
23.1
11.726
19
Rodgers, Aaron QB GB
24.2
12.197
20
Manning, Peyton QB DEN
35.4
12.781
21
McGloin, Matt QB OAK
13.6
7.553
22
Pryor, Terrelle QB OAK
14.9
8.345
23
Kaepernick, Colin QB SF
19.6
10.153
24
Clemens, Kellen QB STL
10.2
6.912
25
Foles, Nick QB PHI
25
15.204
26
Lewis, Thad QB BUF
11.1
7.267
27
Brady, Tom QB NE
20.3
10.780
28
McCown, Josh QB CHI
21.4
14.093
29
Keenum, Case QB HOU
15.6
10.548
30
Manning, Eli QB NYG
13.6
9.271
31
Fitzpatrick, Ryan QB TEN
18.5
11.219
32
Cassel, Matt QB MIN
14.8
10.215
33
Flynn, Matt QB GB
12.6
10.045
34
Schaub, Matt QB HOU
13.1
10.444
35
Smith, Geno QB NYJ
13.8
11.099
36
Campbell, Jason QB CLE
15.6
12.600
37
Cousins, Kirk QB WAS
8.9
11.761


RB
Player
Avg
Stdev
1
Baker, Edwin RB CLE
11.6
3.363
2
Bell, Le'Veon RB PIT
13.5
4.740
3
Morris, Alfred RB WAS
11.1
4.749
4
Jackson, Fred RB BUF
12
5.605
5
Jones-Drew, Maurice RB JAC
9.9
4.916
6
Williams, DeAngelo RB CAR
9.4
4.819
7
Bernard, Giovani RB CIN
10.4
5.758
8
Mathews, Ryan RB SD
12.7
6.423
9
Jackson, Steven RB ATL
9.6
5.326
10
Gore, Frank RB SF
11.6
6.389
11
Richardson, Trent RB IND
6.9
3.829
12
Woodhead, Danny RB SD
9.2
5.407
13
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus RB CIN
7.2
4.374
14
Mendenhall, Rashard RB ARI
8.4
4.866
15
Lacy, Eddie RB GB
14.8
7.328
16
Powell, Bilal RB NYJ
6.7
4.337
17
Murray, DeMarco RB DAL
15.5
8.030
18
Hillis, Peyton RB NYG
6.3
4.068
19
Lynch, Marshawn RB SEA
15.5
8.282
20
Forte, Matt RB CHI
17.4
8.410
21
Johnson, Chris RB TEN
12.9
7.741
22
Bush, Reggie RB DET
14.1
8.028
23
Miller, Lamar RB MIA
6.3
4.416
24
McCoy, LeSean RB PHI
19.5
9.444
25
Thomas, Pierre RB NO
8.4
5.956
26
Moreno, Knowshon RB DEN
15.2
8.363
27
Vereen, Shane RB NE
11.9
7.396
28
Charles, Jamaal RB KC
21.9
11.493
29
Tolbert, Mike RB CAR
6.1
4.454
30
Bell, Joique RB DET
10.2
7.104
31
Peterson, Adrian RB MIN
15.9
9.488
32
Bolden, Brandon RB NE
5.1
3.944
33
McFadden, Darren RB OAK
8.6
6.408
34
Stacy, Zac RB STL
12.2
8.247
35
Rice, Ray RB BAL
8.2
6.155
36
Ellington, Andre RB ARI
8.8
6.707
37
Spiller, C.J. RB BUF
8.9
6.879
38
Grimes, Jonathan RB HOU
9.5
7.150
39
Rodgers, Jacquizz RB ATL
6
5.269
40
Brown, Andre RB NYG
9.9
7.750
41
Ball, Montee RB DEN
5.7
5.269
42
Brown, Donald RB IND
7.7
6.549
43
Thomas, Daniel RB MIA
5.8
5.412
44
Ivory, Chris RB NYJ
7.4
6.614
45
Ridley, Stevan RB NE
8.6
7.312
46
Tate, Ben RB HOU
8.2
6.989
47
Jennings, Rashad RB OAK
9.8
8.945
48
Sproles, Darren RB NO
7
6.962
49
Greene, Shonn RB TEN
5.2
6.006
50
Starks, James RB GB
6.6
6.754
51
Reece, Marcel RB OAK
5.2
6.332
52
Blount, LeGarrette RB NE
7.8
8.920
53
Rainey, Bobby RB TB
6.5
11.119


WR
Player
Avg
Stdev
1
Welker, Wes WR DEN
10.4
5.096
2
Crabtree, Michael WR SF
7.5
3.883
3
Cobb, Randall WR GB
13.5
6.748
4
Allen, Keenan WR SD
10.9
6.307
5
Hartline, Brian WR MIA
8.2
5.361
6
Fitzgerald, Larry WR ARI
10
6.252
7
Wright, Kendall WR TEN
8
5.159
8
Marshall, Brandon WR CHI
14
6.999
9
Smith, Torrey WR BAL
9.2
6.030
10
Moore, Denarius WR OAK
7.9
5.423
11
Sanders, Emmanuel WR PIT
7.2
4.595
12
Smith, Steve WR CAR
6.6
2.899
13
Thomas, Demaryius WR DEN
15.4
8.698
14
Baldwin, Doug WR SEA
6.8
4.470
15
Floyd, Michael WR ARI
8.9
6.676
16
Nelson, Jordy WR GB
12.3
7.277
17
Green, A.J. WR CIN
14.5
8.704
18
Brown, Antonio WR PIT
14
8.704
19
Bowe, Dwayne WR KC
6.5
4.176
20
Bryant, Dez WR DAL
13.3
7.754
21
Streater, Rod WR OAK
7.2
5.450
22
Jones, James WR GB
7.6
6.338
23
Garcon, Pierre WR WAS
11.3
7.660
24
Nicks, Hakeem WR NYG
6.6
5.046
25
Johnson, Steve WR BUF
6.8
5.416
26
Gordon, Josh WR CLE
18.5
11.992
27
Patterson, Cordarrelle WR MIN
7.5
6.640
28
Brown, Marlon WR BAL
6.9
5.814
29
Tate, Golden WR SEA
8.1
6.934
30
Johnson, Calvin WR DET
17.7
12.495
31
Kerley, Jeremy WR NYJ
6
4.619
32
Burleson, Nate WR DET
6.1
4.665
33
Wallace, Mike WR MIA
8.6
7.078
34
Colston, Marques WR NO
8.7
7.156
35
Edelman, Julian WR NE
9.9
7.570
36
Jackson, DeSean WR PHI
13.1
9.773
37
Woods, Robert WR BUF
5.7
4.423
38
Douglas, Harry WR ATL
7.7
6.898
39
Jeffery, Alshon WR CHI
13.7
11.231
40
Jackson, Vincent WR TB
11.3
9.098
41
Cotchery, Jerricho WR PIT
7.7
6.997
42
Boldin, Anquan WR SF
10.7
8.950
43
Hopkins, DeAndre WR HOU
5.8
5.030
44
Amendola, Danny WR NE
7
6.407
45
White, Roddy WR ATL
7.2
6.698
46
Royal, Eddie WR SD
7.4
6.883
47
Decker, Eric WR DEN
13.2
11.935
48
Washington, Nate WR TEN
7.4
6.925
49
Johnson, Andre WR HOU
12.2
10.774
50
LaFell, Brandon WR CAR
6.1
5.770
51
Randle, Rueben WR NYG
6.1
5.857
52
Hilton, T.Y. WR IND
9.7
9.784
53
Boykin, Jarrett WR GB
5.8
5.515
54
Jones, Marvin WR CIN
8.8
9.273
55
Williams, Terrance WR DAL
6.7
6.776
56
Cooper, Riley WR PHI
9.1
9.852
57
Jennings, Greg WR MIN
7.3
7.367
58
Dobson, Aaron WR NE
6.6
7.502
59
Stills, Kenny WR NO
6.1
7.459
60
Underwood, Tiquan WR TB
5.9
7.556
61
Rogers, Da'Rick WR IND
6.8
9.937



TE
Player
Avg
Stdev
1
Olsen, Greg TE CAR
7.4
3.655
2
Pitta, Dennis TE BAL
5.7
3.261
3
Miller, Heath TE PIT
4.5
2.473
4
Walker, Delanie TE TEN
6.2
4.216
5
Gresham, Jermaine TE CIN
4.6
3.258
6
Chandler, Scott TE BUF
4.7
3.300
7
Bennett, Martellus TE CHI
6.5
4.657
8
Myers, Brandon TE NYG
4.8
3.733
9
Lewis, Marcedes TE JAC
5.3
4.219
10
Gates, Antonio TE SD
7.1
5.300
11
Thomas, Julius TE DEN
11.2
7.229
12
Clay, Charles TE MIA
7.6
6.177
13
Gonzalez, Tony TE ATL
8.7
6.658
14
Witten, Jason TE DAL
8.9
7.012
15
Graham, Jimmy TE NO
14.8
8.291
16
Housler, Rob TE ARI
4
3.043
17
Celek, Brent TE PHI
5.3
4.260
18
Wright, Timothy TE TB
5.5
4.604
19
Graham, Garrett TE HOU
6.6
5.669
20
Cameron, Jordan TE CLE
9.3
7.310
21
Davis, Vernon TE SF
11.1
8.272
22
Fasano, Anthony TE KC
4.2
3.349
23
Fleener, Coby TE IND
5.7
4.868
24
Winslow, Kellen TE NYJ
4.2
3.508
25
Clark, Dallas TE BAL
4.4
3.837
26
Miller, Zach TE SEA
4.9
4.473
27
Rivera, Mychal TE OAK
4
3.463
28
Cook, Jared TE STL
6.1
6.369
29
Cumberland, Jeff TE NYJ
4.3
4.223
30
Ertz, Zach TE PHI
4.4
4.982
31
Fauria, Joseph TE DET
4
5.614

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