Hello and welcome to Market Fantasy!
Below are my efficiency rankings. The idea is similar to my consistency rankingsin how they are calculated, but looking at a different set of metrics. The consistency rankings are really more of a predictive tool than a rank, in that by showing a players average performance and standard deviation within those performances, we can get an idea of what to expect from a player in a given week.
The efficiency rankings below are based on two metrics: total number of touches and points per touch. Total number of touches is the number of times a player touches the football, either via reception or carry. Points per touch is the number of fantasy points a player scores each time they touch the ball (YTD fantasy points divided by total touches).
The idea in calculating where a player ranks is similar to how I get to my consistency ranks. In calculating the consistency ranks, more weight is given to players with higher average scores, since they are high performers, but also lowest standard deviation. A lower standard deviation gives us a smaller range of outcomes when predicting what their score will be. In calculating the below efficiency ranks, the most weight is given to the highest touches, along with the highest points per touch. The idea is to find the players who will touch the ball the most and score the most points each time they do so. A player like Martavis Bryant has a very high points per touch among running backs, but also a smaller workload, so a big game is blown out of proportion some.
One last note on the ranks: running backs will have a lower points per touch than wide receivers and tight ends due to both the higher number of touches and the nature of their touches. Whereas a receiver might average 15 yards (1.5 points) per reception, a good running back only averages 4.5 (.45 points) yards per carry (and a little more per reception).
Player
|
MF Pts
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| ||||
Marshawn Lynch SEA
|
178
|
201
|
0.886
| ||||
Arian Foster HOU
|
161.1
|
187
|
0.861
| ||||
Jamaal Charles KC
|
140
|
155
|
0.903
| ||||
Eddie Lacy GB
|
126.9
|
156
|
0.813
| ||||
Matt Forte CHI
|
164.8
|
240
|
0.687
| ||||
Justin Forsett BAL
|
122.3
|
164
|
0.746
| ||||
Le'Veon Bell PIT
|
167.5
|
252
|
0.665
| ||||
DeMarco Murray DAL
|
183.4
|
280
|
0.655
| ||||
Lamar Miller MIA
|
106.6
|
149
|
0.715
| ||||
Mark Ingram NO
|
107.5
|
156
|
0.689
| ||||
Alfred Morris WAS
|
116.5
|
182
|
0.640
| ||||
Jeremy Hill CIN
|
99.5
|
129
|
0.771
| ||||
Giovani Bernard CIN
|
92.5
|
131
|
0.706
| ||||
Chris Ivory NYJ
|
95
|
135
|
0.704
| ||||
Andre Ellington ARI
|
124
|
227
|
0.546
| ||||
Shane Vereen NE
|
87.3
|
105
|
0.831
| ||||
Darren Sproles PHI
|
75.7
|
61
|
1.241
| ||||
Roy Helu WAS
|
63.5
|
65
|
0.977
| ||||
Matt Asiata MIN
|
89
|
110
|
0.809
| ||||
Frank Gore SF
|
90.6
|
166
|
0.546
| ||||
Joique Bell DET
|
80.6
|
142
|
0.568
| ||||
Benny Cunningham STL
|
64.6
|
76
|
0.850
| ||||
Pierre Thomas NO
|
51.7
|
56
|
0.923
| ||||
Lorenzo Taliaferro BAL
|
57.1
|
68
|
0.840
| ||||
LeSean McCoy PHI
|
93.9
|
218
|
0.431
| ||||
Branden Oliver SD
|
75.9
|
134
|
0.566
| ||||
Steven Jackson ATL
|
78.7
|
142
|
0.554
| ||||
Jonas Gray NE
|
57.2
|
69
|
0.829
| ||||
Knile Davis KC
|
74.6
|
122
|
0.611
| ||||
Denard Robinson JAC
|
77
|
116
|
0.664
| ||||
Isaiah Crowell CLE
|
66.4
|
83
|
0.800
| ||||
Ronnie Hillman DEN
|
75.5
|
111
|
0.680
| ||||
Bobby Rainey TB
|
70.8
|
119
|
0.595
| ||||
C.J. Anderson DEN
|
45.4
|
55
|
0.825
| ||||
Terrance West CLE
|
68.7
|
119
|
0.577
| ||||
Fred Jackson BUF
|
66.9
|
95
|
0.704
| ||||
Trent Richardson IND
|
69.4
|
137
|
0.507
| ||||
Darren McFadden OAK
|
67.6
|
142
|
0.476
| ||||
Rashad Jennings NYG
|
67.2
|
124
|
0.542
| ||||
Andre Williams NYG
|
63.5
|
124
|
0.512
| ||||
Ben Tate CLE
|
63.3
|
115
|
0.550
| ||||
Jerick McKinnon MIN
|
61
|
122
|
0.500
| ||||
Chris Johnson NYJ
|
57.6
|
102
|
0.565
| ||||
Bishop Sankey TEN
|
60.5
|
114
|
0.531
| ||||
Jonathan Stewart CAR
|
56.6
|
102
|
0.555
| ||||
Alfred Blue HOU
|
50.6
|
110
|
0.460
| ||||
Tre Mason STL
|
48.2
|
100
|
0.482
| ||||
Player
|
MF Pts
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| ||||
Jordy Nelson GB
|
153.8
|
60
|
2.563
| ||||
Jeremy Maclin PHI
|
146.1
|
57
|
2.563
| ||||
Randall Cobb GB
|
136.8
|
58
|
2.359
| ||||
Kelvin Benjamin CAR
|
122.8
|
52
|
2.362
| ||||
Demaryius Thomas DEN
|
146.5
|
72
|
2.035
| ||||
Dez Bryant DAL
|
127.3
|
56
|
2.273
| ||||
Emmanuel Sanders DEN
|
140.2
|
73
|
1.921
| ||||
Mike Evans TB
|
121.4
|
46
|
2.639
| ||||
Antonio Brown PIT
|
167.4
|
92
|
1.820
| ||||
T.Y. Hilton IND
|
114.6
|
60
|
1.910
| ||||
Brandon Marshall CHI
|
104.6
|
49
|
2.135
| ||||
Golden Tate DET
|
114.2
|
70
|
1.631
| ||||
Alshon Jeffery CHI
|
103.4
|
61
|
1.695
| ||||
DeSean Jackson WAS
|
105.7
|
43
|
2.458
| ||||
Mohamed Sanu CIN
|
95.1
|
48
|
1.981
| ||||
DeAndre Hopkins HOU
|
98.4
|
46
|
2.139
| ||||
Steve Smith BAL
|
94.8
|
49
|
1.935
| ||||
Julio Jones ATL
|
107.3
|
68
|
1.578
| ||||
Sammy Watkins BUF
|
95.2
|
46
|
2.070
| ||||
Mike Wallace MIA
|
91.3
|
47
|
1.943
| ||||
Jordan Matthews PHI
|
91.8
|
44
|
2.086
| ||||
Roddy White ATL
|
86.6
|
47
|
1.843
| ||||
Malcom Floyd SD
|
81.4
|
32
|
2.544
| ||||
Allen Hurns JAC
|
77.5
|
30
|
2.583
| ||||
Brandon LaFell NE
|
87.6
|
39
|
2.246
| ||||
Torrey Smith BAL
|
80.6
|
27
|
2.985
| ||||
Terrance Williams DAL
|
78.6
|
27
|
2.911
| ||||
Martavis Bryant PIT
|
68.4
|
17
|
4.024
| ||||
Julian Edelman NE
|
81
|
67
|
1.209
| ||||
Anquan Boldin SF
|
86.8
|
56
|
1.550
| ||||
Michael Floyd ARI
|
69.6
|
27
|
2.578
| ||||
John Brown ARI
|
76.2
|
37
|
2.059
| ||||
A.J. Green CIN
|
73
|
31
|
2.355
| ||||
Eddie Royal SD
|
71.5
|
31
|
2.306
| ||||
Percy Harvin NYJ
|
50.8
|
61
|
0.833
| ||||
Andre Holmes OAK
|
65.9
|
27
|
2.441
| ||||
Larry Fitzgerald ARI
|
75.8
|
46
|
1.648
| ||||
Michael Crabtree SF
|
75.3
|
44
|
1.711
| ||||
Calvin Johnson DET
|
70
|
34
|
2.059
| ||||
Rueben Randle NYG
|
64.1
|
50
|
1.282
| ||||
Kenny Britt STL
|
63.4
|
27
|
2.348
| ||||
Kendall Wright TEN
|
73.7
|
46
|
1.602
| ||||
Andre Johnson HOU
|
65.1
|
55
|
1.184
| ||||
Odell Beckham NYG
|
66.7
|
33
|
2.021
| ||||
Andrew Hawkins CLE
|
72.9
|
46
|
1.585
| ||||
Reggie Wayne IND
|
71.5
|
47
|
1.521
| ||||
James Jones OAK
|
65.8
|
49
|
1.343
| ||||
Keenan Allen SD
|
59.7
|
55
|
1.085
| ||||
Justin Hunter TEN
|
53.6
|
23
|
2.330
| ||||
Brian Quick STL
|
55.5
|
25
|
2.220
| ||||
Eric Decker NYJ
|
69
|
43
|
1.605
| ||||
Taylor Gabriel CLE
|
59.3
|
32
|
1.853
| ||||
Vincent Jackson TB
|
68.1
|
43
|
1.584
| ||||
Steve Johnson SF
|
58.7
|
32
|
1.834
| ||||
Marques Colston NO
|
57.6
|
34
|
1.694
| ||||
Greg Jennings MIN
|
58.3
|
36
|
1.619
| ||||
Doug Baldwin SEA
|
60.5
|
44
|
1.375
| ||||
Pierre Garcon WAS
|
64.4
|
43
|
1.498
| ||||
Kenny Stills NO
|
55.1
|
31
|
1.777
| ||||
Cordarrelle Patterson MIN
|
56.5
|
36
|
1.569
| ||||
Markus Wheaton PIT
|
58.1
|
40
|
1.453
| ||||
Jarvis Landry MIA
|
51.6
|
44
|
1.173
| ||||
Miles Austin CLE
|
53.8
|
34
|
1.582
| ||||
Dwayne Bowe KC
|
50.9
|
41
|
1.241
| ||||
Player
|
MF Pts
|
Touches
|
Pts/Touch
| ||||
Rob Gronkowski NE
|
127.4
|
53
|
2.404
| ||||
Julius Thomas DEN
|
114.6
|
40
|
2.865
| ||||
Greg Olsen CAR
|
101.9
|
56
|
1.820
| ||||
Jimmy Graham NO
|
102.3
|
59
|
1.734
| ||||
Antonio Gates SD
|
101.7
|
38
|
2.676
| ||||
Martellus Bennett CHI
|
89.1
|
53
|
1.681
| ||||
Delanie Walker TEN
|
75.2
|
38
|
1.979
| ||||
Larry Donnell NYG
|
73.7
|
44
|
1.675
| ||||
Dwayne Allen IND
|
79.4
|
26
|
3.054
| ||||
Travis Kelce KC
|
69.5
|
37
|
1.878
| ||||
Jason Witten DAL
|
61.1
|
39
|
1.567
| ||||
Heath Miller PIT
|
60.1
|
43
|
1.398
| ||||
Coby Fleener IND
|
67.9
|
29
|
2.341
| ||||
Timothy Wright NE
|
42.2
|
19
|
2.221
| ||||
Zach Ertz PHI
|
53
|
30
|
1.767
| ||||
Lance Kendricks STL
|
41
|
21
|
1.952
| ||||
Charles Clay MIA
|
46.6
|
39
|
1.195
| ||||
Owen Daniels BAL
|
52.8
|
35
|
1.509
| ||||
Jared Cook STL
|
50.6
|
35
|
1.446
| ||||
Mychal Rivera OAK
|
48.6
|
37
|
1.314
| ||||
Jermaine Gresham CIN
|
40.9
|
38
|
1.076
| ||||
Niles Paul WAS
|
48.6
|
33
|
1.473
| ||||
Jace Amaro NYJ
|
41.1
|
34
|
1.209
|
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