Tuesday, November 5, 2013

Market Fantasy #34 - Week 10 Free Agents and Consistency Ratings

Hello and Welcome to Market Fantasy!

Below you will find the updated consistency rankings for week 8. The ranks are based on a combination of player weekly scoring average and the standard deviation of the scores. A full description of how the ranks are calculated can be found here. As always, the players are listed with the relevant information so you can do your own research and work with the info how you like.

Week 10 isn’t going to be as bad with the byes as week 9 was, but still, the Browns, Pats, Chiefs and Jets all have players who are in starting lineups on a fairly regular basis, some teams more than others.

Week 9 saw a couple of players have outstanding weeks seemingly out of nowhere (and mostly against me). While widely started wide receivers Andre Johnson and TY Hilton went off, lesser owned Riley Cooper, Nick Foles, and Darrell Young went off as well. Foles’ historic performance has been covered in a lot of places. I’ll say that he should be owned going forward, but it would really be a gamble to rely on him as your weekly starter. So far, he has three usable games and two complete bombs. If you’re sitting on a top QB and want to add Foles to trade to strengthen your team at another position or two, I can get behind that. Just make sure you have a reliable backup for Foles. As for Cooper, he’s an interesting case. His best games have come with Foles at QB, so assuming Foles gets the start the rest of the way, I’d add Cooper as a depth play to see what he can do. The Eagles face Green Bay next week and we just saw Josh McCown have a pretty good day against their defense, so maybe these two keep the good times rolling. As for Young, sorry, he was just a middle finger from Shanahan. He scored three times because the Skins ran the exact same play three times while the Chargers just refused to stop it.

Alright, let’s get to the pickups!

QB:
Case Keenum: Through two games, Case Keenum has looked really good so far, and most importantly, he’s using all of his weapons effectively. Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins both have useful games with Keenum at the helm. Garrett Graham continues to underwhelm, but as long as Keenum is feeding his recievers, no one is going to complain. The Arizona matchup could be tough, but Indianapolis is no slouch in pass defense either. Give him a look if you’re a Brady or Rogers owner.

Jake Locker: I recommended Locker last week and he proceeded to spend the game handing off, his day only slightly saved by a rushing touchdown. He might not be asked to do much again this week, but the matchup is nice and he should give desperate owners a nice game based on his history.

RB:
Chris Ivory: As a rule, I try to recommend players beyond the obvious names every week. You don’t need me to tell you that Nick Foles had a great game and should probably be owned. Running backs are different this year, however. There’s just nothing out there. Ivory had a great game against his old team last week. Ivory is on a bye this week, but you’ll still want to add him for depth and a possible quick turn-around in a trade.

Rashad Jennings: Darren McFadden is hurt and could possibly be on his way out of town. Jennings had a monster game in garbage time last week against a terrible Eagles defense and figures to get the start again this week if McFadden is out. Marcel Reece will probably steal some touches, but Jennings should be the main guy if McFadden can’t go. Even if he can go, I like him as a flex play this week. He gets to feast on another terrible Giants defense this week and could again post solid numbers.

Others to look at: Shonn Greene and Donald Brown, Shane Vereen, Andre Brown

WR:

Mike Brown: With Justin Blackmon suspended for the rest of the year, Mike Brown is worth a look in deeper leagues as a WR3 play. He’s posted double digit points in his last two games and, let’s face it, the Jaguars are going to be playing from behind a ton this year forcing them to throw a lot. I like Brown as a decent play for the rest of the year as a WR3/flex type guy.

DeAndre Hopkins: If a frustrated owner dropped Hopkins, you need to pick him back up. As noted above, Keenum has vastly improved the passing game in Houston to the benefit of AJ and Hopkins. Houston has a tough matchup with Arizona this week, but Hopkins should be able to put up low end WR2 numbers for desperate owners.

Aaron Dobson: Dobson is off this week, but I’d add him if I could. Kenbrell Thompkins was a healthy scratch last week and Dobson has emerged as Brady’s deep threat target. With double digit points in his last two weeks, Dobson could be emerging. He’s going to be a boom/bust type guy most likely and still has problems with the drops, but the Pats seem to like him. If Brady is indeed back, he could pay big dividends late in the year.

Others to look at if available: Kendall Wright, Emmanuel Sanders, Rod Streater

TE:
Tim Wright: My top two adds this week would be Greg Olsen and Delanie Walker if they’re out there. If not, give rookie Tim Wright a look. Wright has three games of at least nine points in his last four (the one off week being the week I had to roll with him). Quarterback Mike Glennon clearly trusts him, and with Mike Williams out, Wright should continue to see a decent amount of targets. For those of you who are playing the matchups between a couple of tight ends, give Wright a look.

That’s all for now. As always, thanks for reading and good luck!



Consistency Ratings:

QB:

Player
Avg
Stdev
1
Stafford, Matthew QB DET
26.7
6.727741
2
McCown, Josh QB CHI
21.2
3.7
3
Wilson, Russell QB SEA
21.3
6.654656
4
Luck, Andrew QB IND
23.4
8.343176
5
Ryan, Matt QB ATL
23.2
7.636549
6
Rivers, Philip QB SD
26.2
9.435703
7
Brees, Drew QB NO
31.1
10.71587
8
Pryor, Terrelle QB OAK
18.6
4.914369
9
Tannehill, Ryan QB MIA
17.2
3.088057
10
Newton, Cam QB CAR
23.3
9.429574
11
Keenum, Case QB HOU
26.7
10.9
12
Glennon, Mike QB TB
17.9
5.420184
13
Ponder, Christian QB MIN
16.2
4.623159
14
Roethlisberger, Ben QB PIT
19.6
8.46669
15
Manning, Peyton QB DEN
37.7
13.55175
16
Flacco, Joe QB BAL
18
6.952057
17
Romo, Tony QB DAL
25.2
12.67123
18
Locker, Jake QB TEN
20
9.467488
19
Griffin III, Robert QB WAS
18.9
8.87169
20
Weeden, Brandon QB CLE
11.3
3.781534
21
Rodgers, Aaron QB GB
24.2
12.93667
22
Cutler, Jay QB CHI
19.6
9.580465
23
Smith, Alex QB KC
17.3
8.222748
24
Manuel, EJ QB BUF
14.5
6.541254
25
Palmer, Carson QB ARI
13.9
6.266765
26
Henne, Chad QB JAC
10.6
5.022074
27
Dalton, Andy QB CIN
21.6
12.79448
28
Kaepernick, Colin QB SF
19
11.68027
29
Foles, Nick QB PHI
22.4
21.71797
30
Fitzpatrick, Ryan QB TEN
13.1
7.138627
31
Lewis, Thad QB BUF
14.5
8.382654
32
Brady, Tom QB NE
18.3
11.85481
33
Vick, Michael QB PHI
19.4
13.97336
34
Campbell, Jason QB CLE
18.7
13.24613
35
Smith, Geno QB NYJ
14.9
9.964158
36
Manning, Eli QB NYG
15.9
10.98259
37
Schaub, Matt QB HOU
16.4
12.10584

RB:

Player
Avg
Stdev
1
Charles, Jamaal RB KC
17.6
4.724875
2
Morris, Alfred RB WAS
13.1
4.125227
3
Jackson, Fred RB BUF
12.3
4.201323
4
Forte, Matt RB CHI
17.8
6.245799
5
Williams, DeAngelo RB CAR
9.1
3.080153
6
Martin, Doug RB TB
9.9
3.931673
7
Bell, Le'Veon RB PIT
12.2
4.902816
8
Gore, Frank RB SF
14.7
6.368428
9
McCoy, LeSean RB PHI
16.4
7.654257
10
Richardson, Trent RB IND
7
3.056141
11
Lacy, Eddie RB GB
13.9
7.150995
12
Woodhead, Danny RB SD
9.8
5.306364
13
Moreno, Knowshon RB DEN
16
7.771734
14
Jones-Drew, Maurice RB JAC
7.8
4.129751
15
Tolbert, Mike RB CAR
8.2
4.729545
16
Thomas, Pierre RB NO
8.3
5.143427
17
McFadden, Darren RB OAK
10.8
6.341216
18
Bush, Reggie RB DET
16.2
8.226513
19
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus RB CIN
6.6
3.424242
20
Tate, Ben RB HOU
5.9
2.749062
21
Jackson, Steven RB ATL
7
3.870643
22
Miller, Lamar RB MIA
8.1
5.036306
23
Mathews, Ryan RB SD
8.8
5.774242
24
Murray, DeMarco RB DAL
12.5
8.03312
25
Peterson, Adrian RB MIN
17.5
8.8429
26
Bolden, Brandon RB NE
6.2
3.319577
27
Mendenhall, Rashard RB ARI
7.2
4.400603
28
Bernard, Giovani RB CIN
10.8
7.016189
29
Spiller, C.J. RB BUF
8.2
6.070922
30
Thomas, Daniel RB MIA
5.6
3.579455
31
Bell, Joique RB DET
9.4
6.764799
32
Lynch, Marshawn RB SEA
15.4
9.173513
33
Hunter, Kendall RB SF
5.1
3.692408
34
Powell, Bilal RB NYJ
7.3
5.432845
35
Ridley, Stevan RB NE
11.6
8.15092
36
Johnson, Chris RB TEN
12.4
9.172709
37
Rice, Ray RB BAL
7.6
6.230275
38
Rodgers, Jacquizz RB ATL
7.9
6.542553
39
Foster, Arian RB HOU
11.6
8.42019
40
Ellington, Andre RB ARI
9.5
8.0959
41
Starks, James RB GB
10.8
8.420594
42
Stacy, Zac RB STL
11.6
10.05558
43
Snelling, Jason RB ATL
6.3
5.780835
44
Sproles, Darren RB NO
7.7
8.094972
45
Helu, Roy RB WAS
6.9
7.273883
46
Ivory, Chris RB NYJ
6.1
7.463819
47
Jennings, Rashad RB OAK
6.3
8.378311
48
Jacobs, Brandon RB NYG
7.1
9.868657
49
James, Mike RB TB
5.1
9.658157

WR:

Player
Avg
Stdev
1
Welker, Wes WR DEN
13.4
3.25881
2
Marshall, Brandon WR CHI
14
6.202003
3
Burleson, Nate WR DET
9
4.205023
4
Nelson, Jordy WR GB
15.3
7.168987
5
Moore, Denarius WR OAK
9.8
5.583759
6
Shorts, Cecil WR JAC
8.2
4.215908
7
Cobb, Randall WR GB
12.7
7.129488
8
Smith, Steve WR CAR
7.1
3.104206
9
Sanders, Emmanuel WR PIT
7.9
4.826425
10
Wright, Kendall WR TEN
7
2.83185
11
Garcon, Pierre WR WAS
11.2
6.987086
12
Floyd, Michael WR ARI
6.9
2.488191
13
Fitzgerald, Larry WR ARI
9.8
6.616268
14
Bryant, Dez WR DAL
14
8.449209
15
Brown, Mike WR JAC
7.9
5.182181
16
Allen, Keenan WR SD
11.4
7.468768
17
Gordon, Josh WR CLE
13.3
8.182884
18
Green, A.J. WR CIN
15
9.417806
19
Brown, Marlon WR BAL
8.8
5.891744
20
Johnson, Steve WR BUF
8.3
5.615649
21
Smith, Torrey WR BAL
10.6
7.365704
22
Thomas, Demaryius WR DEN
13.7
8.759343
23
Hartline, Brian WR MIA
7.8
5.357457
24
Jackson, DeSean WR PHI
14.9
9.954873
25
Streater, Rod WR OAK
6.1
3.116388
26
Baldwin, Doug WR SEA
6.3
3.831449
27
Decker, Eric WR DEN
11.4
7.966639
28
Nicks, Hakeem WR NYG
7.3
5.121384
29
Johnson, Calvin WR DET
20
14.31966
30
Ginn, Ted WR CAR
6.2
4.792116
31
Williams, Mike WR TB
5.6
3.886301
32
Colston, Marques WR NO
5.7
4.173678
33
Brown, Antonio WR PIT
11.9
9.597005
34
Johnson, Andre WR HOU
14
13.53855
35
Cruz, Victor WR NYG
12.8
10.61672
36
Jeffery, Alshon WR CHI
13
10.6473
37
Bowe, Dwayne WR KC
5.4
3.938697
38
Jackson, Vincent WR TB
12.3
10.45227
39
Hopkins, DeAndre WR HOU
7.5
6.041937
40
Wallace, Mike WR MIA
7.7
6.159748
41
Dobson, Aaron WR NE
9.1
7.989368
42
Randle, Rueben WR NYG
7.8
7.054887
43
Royal, Eddie WR SD
9.3
8.46514
44
Cotchery, Jerricho WR PIT
9.4
8.487927
45
Woods, Robert WR BUF
5.6
4.397081
46
Tate, Golden WR SEA
7.5
6.135829
47
Douglas, Harry WR ATL
8.4
7.553548
48
Amendola, Danny WR NE
8.3
7.921263
49
Kerley, Jeremy WR NYJ
5.8
5.21271
50
Hankerson, Leonard WR WAS
6.1
5.438621
51
Williams, Terrance WR DAL
8.6
8.067954
52
Simpson, Jerome WR MIN
6.3
5.774675
53
Edelman, Julian WR NE
7
6.020541
54
Hilton, T.Y. WR IND
11.6
12.00234
55
Pettis, Austin WR STL
6
5.516843
56
Jennings, Greg WR MIN
6.4
5.939697
57
Jones, James WR GB
9.1
8.939217
58
Avery, Donnie WR KC
5.2
5.047796
59
Thompkins, Kenbrell WR NE
7.6
7.211442
60
Jones, Marvin WR CIN
10.5
11.27652
61
Boldin, Anquan WR SF
9.3
10.15406
62
LaFell, Brandon WR CAR
7.1
7.110929
63
Washington, Nate WR TEN
7.7
8.088238
64
Holmes, Santonio WR NYJ
8.8
10.23948
65
Goodwin, Marquise WR BUF
5.4
5.672907
66
Cooper, Riley WR PHI
9.2
11.68701
67
Stills, Kenny WR NO
7.2
9.159148



TE:

Player
Avg
Stdev
1
Olsen, Greg TE CAR
7.6
3.894146
2
Walker, Delanie TE TEN
5.4
2.886932
3
Miller, Heath TE PIT
5.1
2.171533
4
Graham, Jimmy TE NO
18.9
6.76226
5
Graham, Garrett TE HOU
5.4
3.836984
6
Chandler, Scott TE BUF
5.4
4.127266
7
Cameron, Jordan TE CLE
11
7.290786
8
Bennett, Martellus TE CHI
7.9
5.257614
9
Clay, Charles TE MIA
8.1
5.25999
10
Reed, Jordan TE WAS
8.5
5.910938
11
Gates, Antonio TE SD
8.9
6.292406
12
Winslow, Kellen TE NYJ
5.8
4.400781
13
Rudolph, Kyle TE MIN
6.2
4.818697
14
Gronkowski, Rob TE NE
13.5
8.43577
15
Miller, Zach TE SEA
5.1
4.158885
16
Gresham, Jermaine TE CIN
4
2.408524
17
Fleener, Coby TE IND
6.2
5.201427
18
Thomas, Julius TE DEN
12.4
8.609361
19
Davis, Vernon TE SF
14.1
10.37517
20
Eifert, Tyler TE CIN
4.1
2.962273
21
Myers, Brandon TE NYG
4.1
3.663066
22
Witten, Jason TE DAL
8.9
7.833136
23
Clark, Dallas TE BAL
5
4.309458
24
Gonzalez, Tony TE ATL
9.3
8.773789
25
Celek, Brent TE PHI
4.7
4.237021
26
Cook, Jared TE STL
6.7
7.55245
27
Cumberland, Jeff TE NYJ
4.6
4.37899
28
Wright, Timothy TE TB
4.7
4.448002
29
Fauria, Joseph TE DET
4.8
7.335658

DST:

Player
Avg
Stdev
1
Saints DST NO
14.9
5.278198
2
Patriots DST NE
15.3
5.637178
3
Ravens DST BAL
15.6
6.401904
4
Seahawks DST SEA
18.8
7.036062
5
Bills DST BUF
13.6
5.314783
6
49ers DST SF
16
7.599342
7
Cowboys DST DAL
16.8
8.052298
8
Eagles DST PHI
10.9
4.121608
9
Broncos DST DEN
14.8
6.398242
10
Texans DST HOU
10.8
4.892596
11
Chiefs DST KC
24.8
9.919428
12
Falcons DST ATL
9.8
3.97954
13
Jaguars DST JAC
6.8
3.455069
14
Jets DST NYJ
12.1
6.045098
15
Titans DST TEN
15.8
8.554969
16
Raiders DST OAK
14.1
6.679025
17
Panthers DST CAR
21.4
12.37879
18
Chargers DST SD
10.6
5.764926
19
Vikings DST MIN
11.8
6.199798
20
Browns DST CLE
14.4
7.104163
21
Dolphins DST MIA
15.4
8.29062
22
Packers DST GB
13.8
7.01338
23
Lions DST DET
10.2
5.95294
24
Cardinals DST ARI
15.5
9.110434
25
Redskins DST WAS
14.2
7.578753
26
Colts DST IND
14.9
8.476991
27
Bengals DST CIN
15.6
10.06767
28
Buccaneers DST TB
11.1
6.508408
29
Steelers DST PIT
9.5
5.97913
30
Bears DST CHI
13.5
7.331439
31
Rams DST STL
14.8
10.43262
32
Giants DST NYG
8.8
8.073878

No comments:

Post a Comment