Saturday, December 7, 2013

Market Fantasy #53 - Touchdown! Playoffs Edition

Hello and Welcome to Market Fantasy!

A couple times during the season this year, I did a piece highlighting what players were more dependent on touchdowns than others for their productivity. You can read the original with a more thorough explanation of the process here, but the idea is that touchdowns are random and can’t be predicted. If a player scores a lot of touchdowns, that’s great, but you want to make sure they’re also gaining yards as well. A one dimensional player carries a larger inherent risk. If Cam Newton takes the bulk of the rushes from the one yard line, that’s going to make Mike Tolbert basically useless. Obviously, the guys who get yards and touchdowns are the best bet, but I like to rely more on guys who are more reliable yardage producers. Up until this year, someone like Wes Welker was the perfect example. He didn’t score a lot, but could generally get you 10-12 points on yardage alone. When he did manage to score, it turned good weeks to great ones. This year seems to be bizarro world for him. Imagine what his or Larry Fitzgerald’s years would look like with only four or five touchdowns.

The charts are pretty straightforward. The number of both rushing and receiving TDs are listed for each player. Next is the number of fantasy points scored year to date. After that is the number of points from TDs. Finally, the last column is the percentage of that player’s points that are scored through TDs. So scroll through, see where your guys rank, and hopefully this helps you out with your playoff rosters. Thanks for reading and good luck!

RB:
Player
Rush TD
Receiving TD
Fantasy Pts.
TD Pts.
TD Pts As a Percent of Total Points
Young, Darrel RB WAS
3
1
34.3
24
69.97%
Jacobs, Brandon RB NYG
4
0
47.1
24
50.96%
Tolbert, Mike RB CAR
4
2
80.6
36
44.67%
Hunter, Kendall RB SF
3
0
41.1
18
43.80%
Ridley, Stevan RB NE
7
0
97.6
42
43.03%
Reece, Marcel RB OAK
1
2
46.1
18
39.05%
Rainey, Bobby RB TB
3
1
62.2
24
38.59%
Woodhead, Danny RB SD
2
5
115
42
36.52%
Snelling, Jason RB ATL
1
2
49.3
18
36.51%
McFadden, Darren RB OAK
4
0
67
24
35.82%
Lynch, Marshawn RB SEA
9
2
184.4
66
35.79%
Brown, Donald RB IND
4
1
83.9
30
35.76%
Mendenhall, Rashard RB ARI
5
0
83.9
30
35.76%
Gore, Frank RB SF
8
0
137.6
48
34.88%
Moreno, Knowshon RB DEN
9
2
191.6
66
34.45%
Jackson, Fred RB BUF
7
1
140.6
48
34.14%
Jackson, Steven RB ATL
3
1
70.7
24
33.95%
Helu, Roy RB WAS
4
0
70.8
24
33.90%
Peterson, Adrian RB MIN
10
1
197.3
66
33.45%
Bernard, Giovani RB CIN
4
3
127.5
42
32.94%
Starks, James RB GB
3
0
55.5
18
32.43%
Blount, LeGarrette RB NE
3
0
55.8
18
32.26%
Ball, Montee RB DEN
3
0
56.3
18
31.97%
Charles, Jamaal RB KC
9
2
208.3
66
31.69%
Bell, Joique RB DET
6
0
115.3
36
31.22%
Bolden, Brandon RB NE
3
0
58.1
18
30.98%
Rodgers, Jacquizz RB ATL
2
2
78.1
24
30.73%
Brown, Andre RB NYG
3
0
58.8
18
30.61%
Murray, DeMarco RB DAL
7
0
138.5
42
30.32%
Johnson, Chris RB TEN
4
3
144.2
42
29.13%
Green-Ellis, BenJarvus RB CIN
4
0
82.6
24
29.06%
Sproles, Darren RB NO
2
2
85.2
24
28.17%
Stacy, Zac RB STL
4
1
110.2
30
27.22%
Rice, Ray RB BAL
4
0
89.5
24
26.82%
Lacy, Eddie RB GB
6
0
134.3
36
26.81%
Jones-Drew, Maurice RB JAC
5
0
113.5
30
26.43%
Bell, Le'Veon RB PIT
5
0
114.7
30
26.16%
Morris, Alfred RB WAS
6
0
138.5
36
25.99%
Forte, Matt RB CHI
7
1
185.6
48
25.86%
McGahee, Willis RB CLE
2
0
46.4
12
25.86%
Tate, Ben RB HOU
4
0
96.3
24
24.92%
Pierce, Bernard RB BAL
2
0
51.8
12
23.17%
Jennings, Rashad RB OAK
4
0
107.3
24
22.37%
Ogbonnaya, Chris RB CLE
0
2
56.2
12
21.35%
Mathews, Ryan RB SD
3
1
112.7
24
21.30%
Thomas, Pierre RB NO
1
3
113.3
24
21.18%
Ellington, Andre RB ARI
2
1
86.8
18
20.74%
Bush, Reggie RB DET
3
2
154.2
30
19.46%
McCoy, LeSean RB PHI
5
1
186.3
36
19.32%
Cunningham, Benny RB STL
1
0
33.5
6
17.91%
Hillman, Ronnie RB DEN
1
0
34.1
6
17.60%
Gerhart, Toby RB MIN
1
0
34.2
6
17.54%
Richardson, Trent RB IND
2
0
68.9
12
17.42%
Ivory, Chris RB NYJ
2
0
69.3
12
17.32%
Ingram, Mark RB NO
1
0
35.3
6
17.00%
Miller, Lamar RB MIA
2
0
80
12
15.00%
Spiller, C.J. RB BUF
2
0
86
12
13.95%
Williams, DeAngelo RB CAR
2
0
87
12
13.79%
Vereen, Shane RB NE
0
1
45.7
6
13.13%
Powell, Bilal RB NYJ
1
0
78.3
6
7.66%
Richardson, Daryl RB STL
0
0
33.6
0
0.00%
Leonard, Brian RB TB
0
0
28.3
0
0.00%

WR:
Player
Rush TD
Receiving TD
Fantasy Pts.
TD Pts.
TD Pts As a Percent of Total Points
Cotchery, Jerricho WR PIT
0
8
98.4
48
48.78%
Brown, Marlon WR BAL
0
5
61.8
30
48.54%
Royal, Eddie WR SD
0
7
88.8
42
47.30%
Fitzgerald, Larry WR ARI
0
9
120.6
54
44.78%
Jones, Marvin WR CIN
0
7
94
42
44.68%
Pettis, Austin WR STL
0
4
54.8
24
43.80%
Welker, Wes WR DEN
0
9
123.7
54
43.65%
Randle, Rueben WR NYG
0
6
88.4
36
40.72%
Cooper, Riley WR PHI
0
7
107.8
42
38.96%
Austin, Tavon WR STL
1
4
78.4
30
38.27%
Bryant, Dez WR DAL
0
9
141.7
54
38.11%
Williams, Terrance WR DAL
0
5
79.5
30
37.74%
Thomas, Demaryius WR DEN
0
10
166.1
60
36.12%
Johnson, Calvin WR DET
0
12
199.9
72
36.02%
LaFell, Brandon WR CAR
0
5
84
30
35.71%
Marshall, Brandon WR CHI
0
9
153
54
35.29%
Moore, Denarius WR OAK
0
5
86.9
30
34.52%
Thompkins, Kenbrell WR NE
0
4
70.6
24
33.99%
Stills, Kenny WR NO
0
4
71.7
24
33.47%
Ginn, Ted WR CAR
0
4
71.7
24
33.47%
Dobson, Aaron WR NE
0
4
73.2
24
32.79%
Hankerson, Leonard WR WAS
0
3
55.5
18
32.43%
Bowe, Dwayne WR KC
0
4
77.3
24
31.05%
Decker, Eric WR DEN
0
7
137.1
42
30.63%
Nelson, Jordy WR GB
0
7
138.1
42
30.41%
Jackson, DeSean WR PHI
0
7
144.1
42
29.15%
Sanders, Emmanuel WR PIT
0
4
86.9
24
27.62%
Green, A.J. WR CIN
0
7
152.3
42
27.58%
Hilton, T.Y. WR IND
0
5
109.7
30
27.35%
Boldin, Anquan WR SF
0
5
112.2
30
26.74%
Baldwin, Doug WR SEA
0
4
90.6
24
26.49%
Tate, Golden WR SEA
0
4
91.4
24
26.26%
Johnson, Steve WR BUF
0
3
69.6
18
25.86%
Jennings, Greg WR MIN
0
3
69.7
18
25.82%
Edelman, Julian WR NE
0
4
96.2
24
24.95%
Gordon, Josh WR CLE
0
7
170.1
42
24.69%
Brown, Antonio WR PIT
0
6
146.6
36
24.56%
Jackson, Vincent WR TB
0
5
126.3
30
23.75%
Woods, Robert WR BUF
0
2
52.4
12
22.90%
Smith, Steve WR CAR
0
3
81.2
18
22.17%
Floyd, Michael WR ARI
0
4
110
24
21.82%
Johnson, Andre WR HOU
0
5
142.3
30
21.08%
Durham, Kris WR DET
0
2
57.1
12
21.02%
Cruz, Victor WR NYG
0
4
115.1
24
20.85%
Smith, Torrey WR BAL
0
4
119.2
24
20.13%
Jeffery, Alshon WR CHI
0
5
152.4
30
19.69%
Wallace, Mike WR MIA
0
3
94.3
18
19.09%
Avery, Donnie WR KC
0
2
63
12
19.05%
Boykin, Jarrett WR GB
0
2
63.3
12
18.96%
Hartline, Brian WR MIA
0
3
98.4
18
18.29%
Allen, Keenan WR SD
0
3
100.3
18
17.95%
Colston, Marques WR NO
0
2
71.6
12
16.76%
Jones, James WR GB
0
2
72.4
12
16.57%
Hopkins, DeAndre WR HOU
0
2
73.1
12
16.42%
Washington, Nate WR TEN
0
2
76.7
12
15.65%
Garcon, Pierre WR WAS
0
3
115.9
18
15.53%
Streater, Rod WR OAK
0
2
77.4
12
15.50%
Shorts, Cecil WR JAC
0
2
88.4
12
13.57%
Wright, Kendall WR TEN
0
2
96
12
12.50%
Douglas, Harry WR ATL
0
2
98.6
12
12.17%
Nicks, Hakeem WR NYG
0
0
65.4
0
0.00%
Simpson, Jerome WR MIN
0
0
62.2
0
0.00%


TE:
Player
Rush TD
Receiving TD
Fantasy Pts.
TD Pts.
TD Pts As a Percent of Total Points
Fauria, Joseph TE DET
0
6
49
36
73.47%
Kendricks, Lance TE STL
0
3
35.2
18
51.14%
Thomas, Julius TE DEN
0
10
119
60
50.42%
Fasano, Anthony TE KC
0
3
36.1
18
49.86%
Davis, Vernon TE SF
0
10
128.5
60
46.69%
Celek, Brent TE PHI
0
4
55.9
24
42.93%
Watson, Benjamin TE NO
0
2
28.1
12
42.70%
Graham, Jimmy TE NO
0
12
170.8
72
42.15%
Miller, Zach TE SEA
0
4
57.4
24
41.81%
Walker, Delanie TE TEN
0
5
75.4
30
39.79%
Cumberland, Jeff TE NYJ
0
3
46.8
18
38.46%
Witten, Jason TE DAL
0
6
98.2
36
36.66%
Rudolph, Kyle TE MIN
0
3
49.3
18
36.51%
Harbor, Clay TE JAC
0
2
32.9
12
36.47%
Bennett, Martellus TE CHI
0
5
84.5
30
35.50%
Graham, Garrett TE HOU
0
4
69.2
24
34.68%
Ertz, Zach TE PHI
0
3
52.2
18
34.48%
Clark, Dallas TE BAL
0
3
52.3
18
34.42%
Cameron, Jordan TE CLE
0
6
106.4
36
33.83%
Clay, Charles TE MIA
1
4
89.6
30
33.48%
Olsen, Greg TE CAR
0
5
91.1
30
32.93%
Winslow, Kellen TE NYJ
0
2
36.6
12
32.79%
Gonzalez, Tony TE ATL
0
5
95.3
30
31.48%
Myers, Brandon TE NYG
0
3
57.7
18
31.20%
Cook, Jared TE STL
0
4
77.7
24
30.89%
Fleener, Coby TE IND
0
4
78.4
24
30.61%
Gronkowski, Rob TE NE
0
4
80
24
30.00%
Rivera, Mychal TE OAK
0
2
41
12
29.27%
Gresham, Jermaine TE CIN
0
2
44.8
12
26.79%
Reed, Jordan TE WAS
0
3
69.7
18
25.82%
Pettigrew, Brandon TE DET
0
2
47
12
25.53%
Green, Ladarius TE SD
0
2
47.4
12
25.32%
Wright, Timothy TE TB
0
2
50.3
12
23.86%
Gates, Antonio TE SD
0
3
86.6
18
20.79%
Chandler, Scott TE BUF
0
2
59.1
12
20.30%
McGrath, Sean TE KC
0
1
31.7
6
18.93%
Carlson, John TE MIN
0
1
36.5
6
16.44%
Housler, Rob TE ARI
0
1
39.4
6
15.23%
Eifert, Tyler TE CIN
0
1
44.6
6
13.45%
Miller, Heath TE PIT
0
1
50.8
6
11.81%


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